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Atlanta Braves - Philadelphia Phillies    (won)

Philadelphia Phillies started this season with a nice wining streak and right now they hold the record of 9-5. But they had pretty easy schedule comparing to Atlanta today. 

Philadelphia started this season against Atlanta and NY Mets. After those two series, their record was 1-4. They lost the series against Atlanta and Atlanta outscored them by 27-12. 

After that series, they played next 9 games against weak teams this season. Miami, Cincinnati and Tampa Bay. This is where they collected those wins. 

On the other side Atlanta had much tougher schedule and faced top teams. After that series against Philadelphia, where they beat them by 2-1 and outscored them by 27-12 in runs, they faced Washington (two series), Colorado and Cubs. Cubs and Washington are teams that will probably fight for World Series at the end of the season. 

Pitching match up
Atlanta will start with Teheran, who is 0-1 in three games with ERA of 7.07. He has struggled with control so far, but he has some very solid numbers against Philadelphia's hitters. In 141 AB, they collected BA of .213 against him. He also has a winning record against Phillies (8-6) and if he can do the same today, we can see close game in later innings, where I don't give any special advantage to any team. 

Nola on the other side is better pitcher and I give Philadelphia advantage here. But of course the bet is not made only based on starting pitcher. 

Atlanta is currently better offensive team. Despite they faced some of the top teams and top pitching stuffs so far this season, they still score 5.9 runs per game, at home 8 runs and against righties 5.7. Phillies score 5.6 runs, but they score only 3.8 runs per game against right handed pitchers. They are hitting against lefties better than against righties this season and today they will face a right handed pitcher and one pitcher that has good stats against them. 

Play Atlanta


Published: 16-04-2018, 19:22 CET Pick: Atlanta Braves
Odds: 2.2 at bet365


* Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject of change

Category: MLB baseball
Date: 17-04-2018
Option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Stake: 9 (tipster's average: 9)




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