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Baltimore - Toronto    (lost)

The Baltimore Orioles will send Chris Tillman (1-0 with a 2.89 ERA) to the mound for the opener of their three-game series against the visiting Toronto Blue Jays.

It will be third start for Tillman since his return from the disabled list at the beginning of the month, as the 29-year-old right-hander yielded just 3 hits over five scoreless innings in a 4-0 home win against the White Sox on May 7, but had certain problems in his second starts, in which he gave up 8 hits and 3 runs over 4 1/3 innings of a 3-4 loss at Kauffman Stadium last Saturday.

Tillman hasn’t made it out of the fifth inning in each of his previous two starts this season and what also important to be noted: the right-hander has a 2-7 record with a 6.78 ERA in fourteen starts against the Blue Jays over the last three years (1-4 with a 4.85 ERA in seven home contests in this period).

The Blue Jays are still without Josh Donaldson, Troy Tulowitzki and Russell Martin, while Kevin Pillar will serve the second game of a two-game suspension, but Devon Travis is hitting .375 (3-for-8), with two doubles, home run and 7 RBI against Tillman, Ryan Goins is 9-for-27, with a homer, 2 RBI and a walk, Ezequiel Carrera has 3 hits in 10 at-bats against him, with a homer and 3 RBI, Kendrys Morales is 5-for-16, with an RBI-double and a walk, Jose Bautista is 12-for-45, with four doubles, 3 HR, 7 RBI and eight walks, while Justin Smoak has 3 hits in 15 at-bats off Tillman, but with an RBI-double and five walks.

The Toronto Blue Jays will give the ball to Aaron Sanchez (0-1 with a 2.95 ERA) for his fifth start in 2017.The 24-year-old pitcher threw five solid innings his last time out, allowing 5 hits and an unearned run while striking out four in Sunday’s 3-2 home win against the Mariners.

On the other hand, Sanchez had serious problems in his previous start versus Baltimore, when he gave up 7 hits and 5 runs (including three homers to Jonathan Schoop, J.J. Hardy and Chris Davis) over 5 1/3 innings of a 4-6 loss at Rogers Centre on April 14.He’s posted a 4.31 ERA in fourteen career appearances (nine starts) against the Orioles.

Manny Machado (.224 BA, 9 HR, 23 RBI, .308 OBP) is expected to return to Orioles’ lineup after missing Sunday’s 5-6 loss in Detroit.In the matter of fact, Machado is a lifetime .222 hitter against Sanchez, but Chris Davis is hitting .444 (8-for-18), with two doubles, 4 HR, 5 RBI and ten walks off him, Jonathan Schoop is 9-for-21 with a solo home run, Hyun Soo Kim is 4-for-13, with a double and a walk, Ryan Flaherty is 2-for-8 with an RBI-double, while Adam Jones has 3 hits in 23 at-bats off Sanchez, but with a double, solo home run and four walks.

I expect more than eight runs in the opening game of this series between the Baltimore Orioles and Toronto Blue Jays.

 

Published: 19-05-2017, 22:38 CET Pick: over 8.50
Odds: 1.76 at Pinnacle


Category: MLB baseball
Date: 20-05-2017
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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