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Colorado Rockies (Chatwood) vs San Francisco Giants (Cueto)    (lost)

San Francisco Giants will play against Colorado Rockies  and both teams will send out good pitchers on the mound and the total of 10.5 seems little bit too high. I have projected the total of around 7 runs. 

Johnny Cueto is one of the best pitchers in the game and he started this season well. 18 strike outs in 19 innings and ERA of 3.79. Don’t be fooled with ERA, because ERA doesn’t show everything. But his whip is 1.211 and he is 8-2 against Colorado. In 13 starts against Colorado he posted ERA of 2.25 and he also played against them this season. He allowed only 2 runs in 7 innings. 

On the other side we have Chatwood, who is on ERA 3.54, whip of 1.033 and struck out 16 batters in 20 innings this season. He is 6-3 against San Francisco with ERA of 2.54. He also pitched against them this season and guess what - he didn’t allow any run in 9 innings. He allowed only 2 hits in 9 innings. 

Both teams are struggling against right handed pitchers at the start of the season. San Francisco scores 3.4 runs per game against RHP and Colorado 3.4 runs per game vs RHP too. 

And when we talk about bullpens… Colorado didn’t have good bullpen until this season and a lot of bettors will fall into a trap if they will continue to play overs on Colorado like in last years. Their bullpen ERA is 2.62 and is among the best in the league. San Francisco has traditionally good pitching stuff and I even rank their bullpen lower than Colorado. But still their ERA is 3.35. 

There is no logical reason to play over 10.5 in this game. Of course anything can happen. Pitcher can have bad day, hitters can have good day, but if we stick with the facts, the total of 10.5 is simply too much!


Play Under 10.5 @1.83 at William Hill 
Published: 21-04-2017, 13:01 CET Pick: Under 10.5
Odds: 1.83 at William Hill


Category: MLB baseball
Date: 22-04-2017
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 9)




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