Phoenix enters tonights game off of a 3-1 win vs Detroit last night. That win gave them 56 pts to tie with Dallas for 9th place (both 2 pts behind MINN).
Tonight's game will be for a potential share of a playoff spot so I expect both teams to play a very tight game.

In their 6 road games since the beginning of January, Phoenix has scored 3 (or more) goals only once. Over those same games they allowed 4 or more goals 3 times and had a record of 0-3-3.
Last night Smith was in the net and stopped 30/31 shots. He is unconfirmed right now but I suspect he will start again tonight given his GAA of 0.95 and SV% of 0.966 in 3 appearances vs Dallas this year. Overall in January he had a 2.41 GAA and 0.922 SV% and is off to a good start so far in Feb. (NOTE: except for 2 bad games vs Anaheim his Jan. numbers would be GAA of 2.18 and SV% of 0.942).

In their last 7 home games, Dallas has only allowed 3 or more goals twice and scored 3 or more goals twice. The total was under 5.5 in 6 of those 7 games.
Key for this is the play of Kari Lehtonen. After struggling for a bit in early January after returning from injury he seems to have regained his form. In his last 7 games he has a GAA of 1.80 and SV% of 0.938 (giving up 2 or less goals in 6/7 of those games; Only bad game was vs MINN where he gave up 4). Better still, in 3 appearances vs Phoenix this year he has a GAA of 1.33 and SV% of 0.962.

Both teams have a weak PP and strong PK so this should help lower the score. Both teams also have a low shots-against per game as well.

In three games against each other this year the score was under 5.5 all 3 times.

Prediction: 3-1 for Dallas