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Efes - Crvena zvezda    (won)

Euroleague, Round 17

I'm willing to risk here with bet on Crvena zvezda in the opening quarter. This is period when IMO guests should dominate. To be honest, l expect Zvezda can win this game too but first quarter is the safest option if you ask me.
This really is a good chance for Serbian team to win one more road game and thus to increase it's chances of reaching Top 8. Cause you can hardly find easier place in EL to visit then meeting with Efes in Istanbul. Note this is not team like Fenerbahce, Galatasaray or Besiktas who all have big fan base and huge support when playing at home. Efes is not such team, they are the team without fans and it's quite different playing in Istanbul against them or against other above mentioned teams.
Furthermore, with only four victories so far, Efes clearly is already out of race for quarter finals. So CZ plus the points could be right choice. Still I like more opening quarter from couple reasons.
First, since Efes has changed the head coach and since Perasovic has been replaced with Ataman, there is clear trend of Efes is opening games very slow. In all games since Ataman arriving (in EL) Efes was losing after ten minutes. But usually they are back into games later on. The last time at home (vs Bamberg) Efes even won the match after last quarter huge comeback.
Overall in EL, Efes was losing after first quarter in last six straight games. One of those was exactly against CZ in Belgrade. Serbian team back then had early advantage and only increase it until the end for final huge 100:81 victory. Many says Efes is different team now but I don't agree exactly. IMO Ataman has failed to change much. From my point of view he is not the right coach for team like Efes. It is well known Ataman does not like American players, in fact foreign players any kind. He likes to work mainly with Turkish players. Some foreigners are already gone with his arrival, seems like Serbian player Stimac is the next one. It's similar like we have had chance to see during Ataman's era in Galatasaray. Namely, as soon as things are not working well, foreigners are the ones to be blamed (if you ask Ataman). That's why I think he is far from the right option for Efes coach cause this is a team which for years rely on foreigners, you won't find many Turkish players there, if any. Similar is now, except Batuk (Balbay is out for a while) you won't see other Turkish players there except those youngsters who are without serious contribution. So, knowing Ataman's reputation, I really doubt he will improve this team.
In any case, having in mind poor game opening for Efes and combined this fact with my earlier claim that Zvezda has very good five to six players  but with very weak bench (except Davidovac lately), I think first quarter on visiting team is the way to bet here.
Published: 12-01-2018, 16:16 CET Pick: 1st quarter CZ +2
Odds: 1.85 at William Hill


Category: European basketball
Date: 12-01-2018
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)



Remy 12-01-2018, 18:01
Do you think over 156 is an option here? Over looks interesting but this season I dont know much about Euroleague.
FairPlayBet 12-01-2018, 18:12
To be honest I was thinking about over too. Still, the margin is high while since Ataman arriving Efes has played some very low scoring games like those against Bamberg as well Olympiacos. Still, Olympiacos is best defensive team in EL so maybe not good to compare with today`s game. In any case I did bet something at the end beside CZ opening quarter. I took in bet365 doubles, alternative totals over 150.5 combined with alternative spread CZ +10.5. Combined odds 1.91. Good luck.
Remy 12-01-2018, 18:38
Yea, it looks like sure under...
Remy 12-01-2018, 18:38
Really defensive game, wont see 140 pts today.
Remy 12-01-2018, 19:33
JYNXING works every time :)).

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