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Hoffenheim (Ger) - Liverpool (Eng)    (won)

Hoffenheim did well last season finishing 4th in the Bundesliga.
They lost two important players this summer : Sule (33/d/2) and Rudy (32/m/2) went to Bayern while Canoue (20/m/1) went to DC United.
However they do have some very good players like Kramaric,Szalai,Gnabry came on loan from Bayern,Amiri,Demirbay,Zuber,Grillitsch, Schulz came from Gladbach.

Last season they made a fortress at home not losing a single game.

Liverpool's defense looks very silly. They made a lot of mistakes in their game against Watford and I just can't see them keeping a clean sheet in this game despite Klopp knows very well the opponent since he trained at Dortmund before coming on Anfield.
Still, their midfield looks solid even with or without Coutinho. Can,Henderson and Wijnaldum plus Mane,Firmino and Salah for sure can penetrate Hoffenheim's defense since they are not used to play European games.

This is more a bet against Liverpool's defense, I see them conceding at least one goal but at the same time I see them scoring. There are big chances to see a goal festival in this one, for sure if Hoffenheim grabs the first goal they will not park the bus and go for another goal because this is the German mentality, rarely you see them playing defensive football even against Bayern or other important European clubs.

Wagner is injured, with him the chances for this one to go over would have been higher, but I trust Hoffenheim that they have enough quality to score here without him. I find it impossible for them to improve in so little time. Coutinho is out for Liverpool, also Lallana did not play in the game at Watford.
So the good old classic tactic ,,score more goals than your opponent" should be applied in this game for Liverpool. 

Published: 12-08-2017, 16:49 CET Pick: OVER 2.5 goals
Odds: 1.82 at SBOBET


Category: European football
Date: 15-08-2017
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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