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Ingolstadt - Werder Bremen    (won)

GER 1.BL

http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/germany/bundesliga/ingolstadt-sv-werder-bremen/QJ7PR3Gq/


Ingolstadt 17th place 8-4-17 28 points 4 points gap to relegation zone must win at home , but will be very difficult to win and value for me clear on X2 Bremen.


Ingolstadt did well in english week and won all 3 games, but tbh were easy opponents Mainz, Augsburg and Darmstadt all by 1 goal.


For this match big squad problems specially in defense 3 key players suspended and out. Defenders Bregerie (15 matches), captain Matip (31matches) and Suttner (29 matches) are suspended. Big blow and still missing best striker from last season Hartmann (16matches 1goal).

Specially missing of captain Matip (31 matches) and best assists Suttner (30games 4goals 5 assists - strong free kicks and corners) big blow his miss as they scored 20 of their 31 goals by dead balls ! highes rate of scoring.


Bremen also squad problems and missing key midfielder Junuzovic (27m,4goals) with 5 yellow suspended, but also top striker Gnabry (22m(10goals) returning.

Still missing key midfielder captain Fritz (19matches) and Delaney (9matches4goals) also Caldirola (5matches), Hajrovic(10matches) and Garcia(18matches) missing , but not that important.


Bremen top form in 2017 really amazing and efficient upfront. Won derby against HSV 2:1 at home after being early 0:1 behind, great team spirit. 9 games unbeaten 7-2-0 4 of last 5 won. Away 3-2-0 out of last 5. Now climbed on 8th spot with 39 points and only 2 points behind 6th Freiburg and chances for europe after horror 2016 season.


Value on AHC+0.5 Bremen and should be 50/50 match at least Bremen normally even favourite. Away win at 3.4 also nice value !

Published: 20-04-2017, 10:37 CET Pick: +0.5 Bremen
Odds: 1.77 at 188bet


Category: German football
Date: 22-04-2017
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 7 (tipster's average: 8)




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