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John Isner - Marin Čilić    (lost)

I'm gonna try this one, because Čilić is in good form on clay, beat Goffin very convincingly and I think he will beat Isner, I feel it will be in two sets. 
To beat Isner one has to have good focus and good serve, first of all. Čilić is good returner and on this surface, I think he will have chances on Isner's serve.
Isner beat Wawrinka, Florian Mayer and Ramos. All good wins but I have my reservations, Stan went with his I don't give a fuck attitude, and it's true Isner had very good serving day, 82.5% first serve won with 83.8% first serve in. And he served good throughout whole torunament on good level. But he wasn't challenged as I assume he will be against Čilić. Čilić is very good returner, good server, in form, much better in rallies, and can play with big servers, he is 6-1 against Isner.
I think this might be close one, probably with two tie-breaks, but Čilić is better player for me, I would say clay suits him, which is true, but seeing servers like Querrey doing good, it can be problematic to claim that and Isner played some good match on clay in past but I think slower surface as Rome clay will do favor to Čilić to figure out Isner.

Published: 18-05-2017, 23:44 CET Pick: Čilić (-1.5 set)
Odds: 2.26 at Pinnacle


Category: ATP tennis
Date: 19-05-2017
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)



1000000 19-05-2017, 13:08
really bad tb by marin despite good returning and control in every rally + two dfs is not something one can afford against isner in tie-break
FinnishFlash 19-05-2017, 14:19
Watching this 3rd set, I can say all value now on Isner @ 3 odds cause seems to me this will be a breaker and Isner dont usually make mistakes in tie-breaks.. I mean it will be about like one or two minibreaks and I can say that Isner seems the stronger player in mentally.
1000000 19-05-2017, 17:35
good catch, yes, marin was mentally weaker in tie-breaks and that practically resolved the match, he was better player in regular part of match but couldn`t capitalize.

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