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Gemini62


Month-by-month stats
Total picks (W-D-L):43-5-42
Staked: 687 units
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L.A Clippers - Denver Nuggets   (won)

Normally i don't like betting on favorites with such spread but few reasons cause me to reconsider my preferences and recommend backing the favorites in that spot tonight.

 

Denver missing 4 key players tonight to begin with

 

The Nuggets are battling injuries throughout the lineup and could be without Nene (calf injury), Danilo Gallinari (ankle), Rudy Fernandez (back) and Ty Lawson (ankle)Denver reaching that game following 2 extended games going into OT and today they might run out of steams ,air and get tired,top it with fact tomorrow night they face the Spurs with such depleted roster.on the other hand we got the Clippers coming to this match fully fit with 2 consecutive losses to S.A and to Golden State,i expect them tonight at home to put to an end that short losing streak.add to it the fact that Denver beat them by 21 points difference 3 weeks ago and we get motivated host that would like to exploit and take advantage of all the absent players of Denver ,fact Denver had 2 extended games going into overtime as well as the fact that

 

Clippers would like to revenge the defeat 3 weeks ago and end thier current short losing streak.last time the spread was set at Clippers -1 ,today the spread was set at -7.5 for start and climbing with some bookies already to -9,the interesting part about the line movement is that in light of the injuries of Denver the line movement seems reasonable to many and Clippers is a team bettors like to put money on normally this season,however little over 60% backing Denver and the spread still on the rise,under normal circumstances such line movement going in reverse tells us that bookies like action over Denver and therefore another aspect to consider Clippers exploding tonight and winning by more than 8 points and most likely by double digit difference.

 

With all that said add the fact that Denver doesnt have any match up for Griffin and Chris Paul who blames himself for the loss vs Golden State and will be over motivated tonight and Clippers seem to be the right play for tonight.


Published Feb-22-2012, 23:56 CET

Betting option: Asian Handicap
Pick: Clippers (-7.5)
Odds: 1.75
Stake: 6
Bookmaker: myBet
Date: Feb-23-2012
Category: NBA basketball
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