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L. Grigelis - O. Otte    (won)

Logical pick if we remeber what Grigelis played here last year, defeated a couple of good players there and lost the final 6-8 in the third-set-tiebreaker vs. Vanni. Grigelis is lithuanian origin but he lives 40km away from Brescia in Costa di Mezzate so this is kind of a home tournament for him. Grigelis is a very underrated player in my opinion, he likes fast surfaces but can play also on clay. I would call him an allrounder with very good ballstriking abilities and huge serve although he is not that tall. He is playing good tennis recently winning two ITF tournaments in Morocco back to back. I know this could be factor because he played on clay in Morocco on Saturday but i guess three days will be enough for him. It is also very good that he will play doubles today so he can adapt to the surface there and will be ready for his singles match (i think it will be played tomorrow). Of course this bet is also against Oscar Otte. I know Otte very well because he comes from a town in the region where i live. Otte had a absolutely stunning season with 88 matches and 66 wins, he is now a Top 150 player and this was the best season of his career so far and of course he is a player to watch because he is still young guy and 24yrs old but he looked very tired last weeks and i know from his environment that he is actually very exhausted because of the long and tough season. He had to rest for a month because his body was given him signals. He also has to pull out of Eckental Challenger in Germany couple of weeks ago. I think Grigelis has a very good chance to prevail here. They met at the beginning of 2017 in GBR on ITF tour level (also indoor hard) where Otte won 76 75 and i can imagine that it will be other way this time. I only risk 3/10 because odds are not thaat good like i expected. ~2.5 would be a higher stake like 4 or 5, but 2,3 is simply only worth 3/10! But still worth a bet, no question.
Published: 13-11-2017, 07:41 CET Pick: L. Grigelis
Odds: 2.3 at 5Dimes


Category: ATP tennis
Date: 14-11-2017
Option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Stake: 3 (tipster's average: 7)




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