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Liverpool - Spartak Moscow    (lost)

Very low odds on over and huge odds on any kind of under for Liverpool and Sp. Mocow. I don't think that there will be so many goals as bookies are predicting. This is not a Premier League game and even thought Liverpool are hosting it at Anfield, there wasn't a game with 5 goals at Anfield for Liverpool in last 8 hosted games there.

Now that Liverpool are in good position on first place, and even if Sevilla wins in Slovenia against Maribor, all Liverpool needs to do is avoid losing with 7:0. That's obviously impossible, Sp. Moscow said that they will attack full force and yadda, yadda, yadda. But talking is one talking and another thing is reality. Reality is that Liverpool will hold that aggression on lower levels today, there's no need to go crazy in this game. They are already through and with more focus on posession, passes and tighter defense, this game might turn around the public predictions and show bookies plans, and that is to lure everyone in on goals and overs, I don't buy it. Liverpool will play tighter I believe and look for that 1 or 2 goals, then close the game. They will look for all 3 points to keep the first place, but with reasonable aggression. They don't want to turn this into a goalfest. Odds on over are just funny, 1.40 on over 2.5 goals? You have to be joking.
Published: 06-12-2017, 18:30 CET Pick: Under 3.75
Odds: 1.74 at Pinnacle


Category: European football
Date: 06-12-2017
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 9)



Miccho 06-12-2017, 19:29
Mate, it is the H2H, not the goal difference, which is the deciding criteria. So, if Spartak wins, Liverpool are out. I don`t think that Liverpool will "hold the aggression on low levels". They won`t take any chances here, they will try to kill the game early on. They got all top guns available - Mane, Salah, Countinho, Lallana, Firmino. Once Liverpool takes the lead and forces Spartak to open up, it can become extremely ugly for the visitors (this Liverpool team loves to demolish opponents when given the chance). In my opinion Liverpool on their own can kill this goal-line. The right play here should be handicap on Liverpool.
KL1NCUNT 06-12-2017, 20:29
Oh my god, I`m sorry. I completely forgot about that. I`m a huge imbecile, facepalm. But I still think we won`t see that many goals. GL!
FinnishFlash 06-12-2017, 20:29
I have same thoughts @Miccho. No offense to this pick, Im on personally over 3,5& home win here cause IMO Pool under Klopp wont never be satisfied with like 1,2- 0 in these kinda games where stakes are high. I think their upfront will kill today Spartak, and Spartak will have chances too for sure cause they have to attack aswell.
Miccho 06-12-2017, 20:32
Liverpool should have beaten them badly in Moscow. Spartak had only one half chance an score a goal, while Liverpool missed 7-8 clean chances. And Liverpool was in poor form back then. Right now they seem to be in their hottest form. I won`t be surprised if they humiliate Spartak.
KL1NCUNT 06-12-2017, 21:10
Epic rape. 3:0 in 18 minutes. Great call Miccho.

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