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Ludwigsburg - Mitteldeutscher    (won)

This is the game from German basketball league today, where we have three teams that are dominating this season. Three teams, that have more than +200 points difference so far and one of those three teams is Ludwigsburg. 

Ludwigsburg is 15-4 to the season with +211 point difference. In last 5 games, they played against 4 teams that are right now in a playoff spot position and they beat 3 of them. The only loss came against Berlin, who is second best team in the league. The only weak team that they faced in last couple of games is Bremerhaven and they beat them by 24 points. 

They will face Mittledeutscher, who is one of the weakest teams in the league with point difference -114. They won last 2 games, but don't be fooled by those two results, because they beat two weak teams. They beat the worst team in the league Tigers Tubingen by 5 and they beat Bremerhaven by 8. They also played both last games at home. 

They also played twice against two of the top teams in last 5 games (Berlin, Bayern) and they lost on the road in Berlin by 20 points and at home against Bayern by 18 points. 
Today they will face the third team out of those 3 top teams, that I mentioned above. And they will face them on the road. 

Bookmakers have Ludwigsburg at -14.5 and I have projected with my betting model, that they should be -23 favourite here. Note also, that the best for me is qualified if the spread difference is 7 points or more. 

I think we have big difference in quality in today's match up. 

Play Ludwigsburg -14.5


Published: 14-02-2018, 10:13 CET Pick: Ludwigsburg -14.5
Odds: 1.943 at Pinnacle


Category: German basketball
Date: 14-02-2018
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 9 (tipster's average: 9)




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