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NY Mets (Lugo) vs Colorado Rockies(Chatwood)    (won)

NY Mets beat Colorado yesterday by 14-2. A lot of runs and their bats were hot. On the other side Colorado scored only 2 runs and we might see old story here again. They struggle in Citi Field and their Coors Field numbers need some adjustments here. In last 15 games at Citi Field, Colorado lost 12 of them. 

Colorado will start with Chatwood, who struggled in last 3 games. ERA of 6.32, 15 walks and 13 strike outs. And a lot of people will be fooled by his good numbers against Mets (3-0 record), but if we check last two games (both from 2016), he pitched 14 innings and had 7 walks compared to 8 strike outs. 

Mets on the other side will start with Lugo and he is also not playing well, I know that, but Colorado doesn’t saw him a lot. Only 6 at bats and this is always small pitcher advantage. If we take into account, that he will play on 5 days rest and Mets are 5-1 in last 6 games with 5 day rested Lugo on the mound, I think he can do well. 

I have projected, that Mets have around 67-68% of chance to win this game. Bookmakers set this game at 50-50 and I think we have a nice value with Mets here. 

Play Mets with Lugo on the mound 
Published: 15-07-2017, 22:10 CET Pick: NY Mets (Lugo)
Odds: 1.97 at SBOBET


Category: MLB baseball
Date: 16-07-2017
Option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Stake: 9 (tipster's average: 9)




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