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Underdogchance


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St Louis Blues vs Boston Bruins   (won)

Boston and St Louis will meet in St Louis, where Blues have very good record against Boston and they also have very good overall record. They beat Boston in 19 out of last 25 meetings and we would expect that Boston would be bigger underdog. But no. Bookmakers set the odds around 50-50 and I believe, that public will go with St Louis here. Yes, more than 60% of people will be on St Louis, but odd still dropped from 2.15 to around 1.95 on Boston. 

My predictive model has Boston as a 1.54 which was surprising for me as well. But if we take a deeper look, I think Boston is a good play. First of all, they have better goalie right now. Rask SV% in last 4 games is 0.931. On the other side St Louis will start with Jake Allen, who is just 1-3 in last 4 games with SV% of 0.885 and I think we have advantage with Rask in the net for Boston.

The second thing I like about Boston is that they played little bit better ice hockey in last 5 games. They have more shots than St Louis (31.6 per game vs 26), they allowed pretty same numbers of shots per game (26.6 per game vs 24.6) and they allowed less goals (2.4 vs 3). Their power play is perfect in last 5 games (15/15), while St Louis is pretty bad (77.3%). 

I think we will se one close game, but I think those small things and better goalie could be the key here for Boston. I will go with my predictive model and will take Boston.
Play Boston 


Published Jan-10-2017, 22:16 CET

Betting option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Pick: Boston
Odds: 2.04   Stake: 10
Bookmaker: Marathonbet
Date: Jan-11-2017
Category: NHL ice hockey

/  Check Underdogchance stats on NHL ice hockey


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