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My opinion is again that here we have one overrated team and other underrated.
Main reason for this bet is Southampton and this is reason I am starting with them. Southampton is good club, last season they were 8th and for Premier league it is good result. But they have appointed new manger Pelegrino and results are not so good. Southampton is bigger club than Watford, but….
This season they have won only 4 matches and all four were against troubled teams.
1.West Ham in that match played almost whole match with 10 players and Sou won in injury time from penalty
2. Crystal Palace who were losing to everyone in beginning of season
3. Everton without manager (David Unsworth, he can be named however you want but he is not manager)
4. WBA team that did not win in last 17 Premier league matches
Other reasons for this bet are, Southampton is missing important player (Austin) and if we look at other attackers (Gabiaddini is out of form and Long did not score before Crystal Palace game for long time out of form too). Their the best player in midfield is Lemina, and he is not 100% fit, he is missing a lot of matches. Other important player is Cedric Soares who is also doubthfull and he is not 100 $ fit too. And they have also Wesley Hoedt who is not ready. All three players maybe will start but even if they start they can not be on top of their game. So nice opportunity for Watford to exploit. So they are very short in defence and only option is to go for 3 central defenders if Hoedt is not ready. Also their missing or not fully recovered right back will play against the best Watford player Richarlieson.
On other side we have Watford, they are not the best team in the league and they have their problems (missing Fermenia) but during this whole season they are very consistent in terms of results. They are on 10 th place and I think that they deserved much better position. They were better than Everton and lost because of stupid mistakes of Cholebas, also they were better than Swansea and lost match in last five minutes.
When you look at this reasons, you can say ok but those are just numbers, but I think that for this bet it is not only numbers. Southampton is outplayed from almost every opponent. Crystal Palace were better team in last round. Only match lately Southampton looked good was against ManUtd but they went ther to defend and I am sure that Southampton will not go to Watford to defend. Even if they go for that it is going to be difficult to score so bet should not be challenged.
This season they are played one match and Watford have won. Anyway I know that this is not going to be same match, I am sure that Southampton is not going to attack lake they did in first match but Southampton is under big pressure and I am not sure that they have players and mostly important coach to turn around that. I think that after this match if Watford win, Southampton is going to change manager.
So at the end I think Watford is in much better form than Southampton, they play on home field and nice odds.
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