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Zvezda - CSKA    (void)

Historical match for Crvena Zvezda. After 20 years fans will have a chance to see the "European Spring". Even if it is still winter. 
When you think about winter, you can easily associate with Russia. 
OK, let's talk about Zvezda.

This big success and passing the EL groups is mostly the masterwork of the coach Milojevic. 
He came silently to Zvezda, from Greece and brought a new dimension of defending in Zvezda. It was so needed after the previous season, under the shit coach M.Bozovic. 
Discipline, the routine of simple schemas and big balls in attack. Zvezda defended well in every group stage game. 
Attack was pushed by the inspiration of the Kanga/Donald/Radonjic and by the constant stability in the defense. Add on it support from wingbacks, Rodic and Stojkovic.
Now, Kanga left the team, to Sparta Prague. He was an important player, 
Best striker Boakye should leave the club soon, (After first game probability higher of 50%) Chinese money is calling and both club and player will not refuse 3-4 million offer. He was injured in last few days but recovered under the treatment of the great doctor Marijana, well known in helping to the injured players and people generally to recover faster as possible. Surely not on 100% but around 85%.
Two foreigners, Le Tallec and Donald didn't extend their contacts and they will leave for free in summer (most likely, it seems like that). Coach and president made the decision not to force them in the future starting lineups, this duo (president and coach) wants to create a structure of the team, and there is no reason to have those two guys, unhappy(or with another club in mind) in the squad. 
Even if they took their place in the upcoming game, it is a big question how they will look, especially Donald who is a very emotive guy and according to my sources, he is not even 70% fired- Problem for Zvezda, he is the captain.

A newly arrived player is Ben from Olympiakos, he is top signing without the doubt. Coach Milojevic knows him well from Panionios.

Predicted squad: 
GK: Borjan 
DR: Stojkovic
DC:Le Tallec 
DC: Savic
MC: Jovicic
MC: Donald
LW: Radonjic
RW: Ben (Srnic)
AMC: Srnic (Ben)
CF: Boakje(Pesic)

CSKA is in their first season under new manager Goncharenko, who used to assist former head coach Leonid Slutsky before taking over. The team's changed reasonably under Belarusian specialist, becoming more agressive all around the pitch with new 3-5-2 formation. Goncharenko is pushing his side to live on the edge all 90 minutes with strong emphasis on wingplay. CSKA's football under Goncharenko is straightforward and yet quite efficient, particularly inside slow paced Russian Premier League. It's helped them do quite well in the group stage of Champions League, but clear issues in the offensive compartment (lack of normal striker) pushed them out of the competition and into Europa League.
Problems in the final third have been haunting Goncharenko since July 2017. Through the course of the season he had to first turn to strikers from the U21 team (Chalov and Gordyushenko), then try central midfielder Dzagoev and even defensive mid Pontus Wernbloom - all in search of proper finisher. The latter worked ok in the Russian Premier League, but was an obvious joke in the Champions League. 
During the winter break CSKA finally splashed some cash out, something they had not done since 2014/15 season when they signed Carlos Strandberg for 450 Th. €. Signing of Kristijan Bistrovic from Slaven Belupo looks almost irrelevant at this time, but the return of Ahmed Musa from Leicester for a short loan deal is a totally different story. Prior to the 19,5 mln € move to EPL, he had recorded 13+5 in 2015/16 season for CSKA and left the league in the status of its' best forward. Yet, all the former success does not necessarily mean Musa will be an instant hit under new manager and in the new 3-5-2 formation, the tactics he's never faced before. In either case, having Musa at the edge is still better than all the options Goncharenko had in 2017. 
CSKA's had a routine winter break with 3 training camps in Campoamor (Spain) and 6 friendlies (unbeaten in all). They will have to deal w/o injured regulars LWB Schennikov and long term injured CB A.Berezutskiy. The two should be replaced by Nababkin and Wernbloom respectively. This will lead to less offensive presence down the left wing, while relocation of DM Wernbloom (used as FW earlier in the season) represents an interesting yet risky idea.

Встроенное изображение 1

Need to be shorter now - 
Quality is on CSKA side and there is experience on CSKA side too. The atmosphere will be amazing and as should / will boost home players, but I'm scared that this cannot be enough against such a serious side, tight at backs, and sharp in attack. 
CSKA won 9 points in the Champions League, and could easily finish as the part of the 16 best teams in Europe.

Zvezda is having a great season, but most of the crucial factors are on the Russian side.

I expected -0.25 line and 0 sounds good here. 
1:1 ,1:2 0:1

Published: 12-02-2018, 19:49 CET Pick: CSKA 0
Odds: 1.94 at Pinnacle

Category: European football
Date: 13-02-2018
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 8)

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