In what is already being billed as the biggest MMA bout of 2020, Khabib Nurmagomedov will defend his title of Lightweight Champion against his rival Tony Ferguson on Saturday the 18th of April. Both fighters have impeccable records in their UFC careers, but Khabib goes into the fight as the bookies’ favourite at around 5 to 2 on at the time of writing. Many experts in the industry have said that if anyone is going to be able to topple Khabib, it will be Ferguson. That said, if the 36-year-old fails to beat his younger counterpart, it is hard to imagine who will strip the Russian of his title.
What are the Bookies Saying?
In the Khabib Nurmagomedov v Tony Ferguson betting, the reigning champion is expected to retain his belt. Unless bettors want to put an outside bet on Ferguson getting the better of his rival, they could choose to bet on other markets in the match. One popular market is whether the fight will go the distance or not, with both options being popular for bettors. Those who think it will go to the final bell can get odds of approximately 11/8 at the time of writing.
A lot of bettors will also be staking on the method of victory. Khabib has won ten of his bouts by submission and ten by decision, so these are two of the more favoured outcomes. Khabib to win by technical decision can be found at around 9/4, while the Russian to win by submission is offered at 5/2. It seems that if Ferguson is to prevail, bookies are expecting it to be by submission. The bookies are offering this as the third-most likely outcome at 11/2.
Does Ferguson Have the Pedigree?
The big question for bettors is whether Ferguson has the pedigree to cause an upset. Unfortunately for the challenger, Khabib has the better momentum going into this fight. Despite spending a lengthy spell out of action due to his nine-month ban from the game, Khabib has still racked up more ring time in the past year than his rival. Ferguson has been sidelined through injury for almost a year, and this will be his first fight since picking up the torn LCL.
Ferguson has suffered three more losses in his career than Khabib, but he boasts the longest streak of consecutive wins in UFC history at 12. This is currently unbroken, but could come to an end when he faces the Russian. He is also placed at number one in the UFC lightweight rankings.
The problem is, Ferguson has rarely come up against opponents of the same quality as Khabib. The American’s last fight was against Donald Cerrone, and he won this comfortably. But Cerrone is only at number 5 in the world rankings and was recently well beaten by Conor McGregor. For this reason, it is hard to say whether Ferguson stands a real chance against Khabib.
As one of the most hyped-up UFC events of the year, there will be a flurry of bets on the Khabib v Ferguson fight when they enter the Octagon. The question for bettors will be whether Ferguson has what it takes to beat the champion. With all things considered, it seems fairly unlikely.
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