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FinnishFlash
 
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AK Bars Kazan - Amur    (void)

KHL Playoffs (East)

Again not asians opened, so lets take some smaller s**t bookie here..

Well I really dont know why Kazan gets here these ~1.60 for win at home, cause to me this is most clear match up after SKA- Serverstal and IMO same level than CSKA- Spartak which I all maybe think will finish 4-0 or 4-1 the series..

Kazan to me the best team in East and best coached under Bilyaletdinov. I mean the team finished #1 in regular season at East pretty clearly, AND Amur was in last place to reach for playoffs as 8th. And the fact that Amur had to play almost like "playoffs" games already hole end of regular season, so normally in that kinda situation in hockey the tank is maybe already pretty empty. Kazan has to me maybe the best offensive roster in hole KHL after SKA of course with amazing 1st line of Sekac, Lander and Azevedo. Also Tkhacyov, Klinkhammer and other very quality players in offense who can make the difference in this kinda match up.

All Im saying that the Game 1 today was totally a one way traffic for Kazan, shots 49-17 and ended 3-0!! I watched it partly and there was no question who will be the winner in the end. Also this is now b2b game, which I think favours a little bit Kazan cause they play at home. And I trust their coach who is so expirienced, and of the best in Russia that he can motivate the team again here and Im sure they wont "underrestimate" Amur here cause they know these first two games at home are a "must win". Because Amur is a good home team and can put a better fight at home for sure!
Published: 04-03-2018, 20:52 CET Pick: Kazan (-1 AH)
Odds: 1.87 at bwin


Category: Russian ice hockey
Date: 05-03-2018
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 8 (tipster's average: 8)



FinnishFlash 04-03-2018, 20:54
For example CSKA is prized around 1.30+ against Spartak at home, and to me Spartak is maybe little bit more quality than Amur and there is not big difference between Kazan and CSKA in my opinion.. So I see best value in this match up in playoffs with these odds!
El_Gringo 04-03-2018, 22:10
Indeed also Im on Amur to score under 1.5 1,80 They have no chances against kazan defence maybe in regular season but in playoffs it is other story and playoffs for amur are already big succses as they always on bottom of table in past years this season did great job but thats it
psyhz 04-03-2018, 22:38
Yea, this seems like a banker to me! Good luck!
FinnishFlash 04-03-2018, 23:39
Thanks guys, appriciate your opinions!
Zizou 04-03-2018, 23:53
Why these tricky odds? Preview is good, just wondering why odds are not appropriately lower, have you thought about it?
FinnishFlash 05-03-2018, 00:01
Man, the odds were same today in Game 1 and I took them and tipped to FCPicks to that but didnt make pick here.. I mean now the asian handi is bit lower (dunno what asians will open it) but this match up obv seems "closer" to bookies than for example CSKA`s against Spartak. . There is no "tricky" in my opinion its just that bookies maybe underrestimate Kazan a bit, and dont concider them same level than CSKA or SKA. Of course this match up should be low scoring, so anyways prob thats why odds are closer but what Ive seen today Kazan was really strong in offense also and their defence is always really strong under Bilyaletdinov in these playoff games. Like I say, I see best value here in these playoff games when I saw odds in Game 1. Amur`s "title" was to reach the playoffs this season, and now Im pretty sure their "tank is empty".
FinnishFlash 05-03-2018, 00:09
I mean its always same thing in KHL.. The latter is clear for bookies, first is SKA by miles away and they would get here around 1.20 odds like against Severstal. Than CSKA would be here around 1.40. Than comes Kazan and maybe Jokers who would be prized like here around 1.60 in this match up. I mean bookies are bit "blind" in my opinion when they dont give bigger "edge" here for Kazan cause they are better team in every aspect and to me top-3 team in KHL, and now in playoffs I expect them to win this series 4-0 or 4-1.
Zizou 05-03-2018, 07:00
Thanks for detailed explanation mate ;)
FinnishFlash 05-03-2018, 13:52
Anyone else on UFA- Omsk over 4,5?? Juicy odds for me..
FollowME 05-03-2018, 14:02
I played combo: Ufa - Omsk (over 3.5) & kazan @ 2.20, took the two bets with a step safer
Finnishflash 05-03-2018, 16:11
Pretty easy over @1.90 :)
FollowME 05-03-2018, 16:39
Yes but odds were tricky and the line low.... Since I am not a KhL expert I took the most none-value option : over 3.5 haha
FinnishFlash 05-03-2018, 17:22
Ok, we lost Kazan bet :( 0-0 FT, strong feeling...
El_Gringo 05-03-2018, 18:20
Take omsk also over nice odds were there
Finnishflash 05-03-2018, 18:29
Haha first kazan didnt score on 5 vs 3 according to flashscore 2minutes and that should always be a goal In hockey.. Than they missed a penalty shot. What a nightmare if they dont win..
FollowME 05-03-2018, 18:37
Yeah wtf, 5vs3, they concede and miss a penalty. What is this dick game?! I smell a strong revenge 3rd period ;)
Zizou 05-03-2018, 18:46
i didnt take anything because of the low odds
jobless 05-03-2018, 19:11
Don`t worry, FinnishFlash, you are a good bettor. The Finns are really high from what I see as education. :)
FollowME 05-03-2018, 19:18
They defend a 4 mins pp, now they have one and can`t score... what a crap game
Finnishflash 05-03-2018, 19:19
Like wtf kazan has pp and amur player hits with high stick In face to Lander and comes Blood and no penalty?!! Should have been another 2+2 penalty..
Finnishflash 05-03-2018, 19:20
It would have been like 3+ min 5 vs 3.. But refs suck
FollowME 05-03-2018, 19:23
Thanks god they scored. Finnish by the way, I didn`t understand this neither. The stick broke his nose (almost :p ) and there was blood and this is not penalty. How come?
Finnishflash 05-03-2018, 19:24
Nice azevedo.. Now just defend idiots. It has been alla kazan Last period.
Finnishflash 05-03-2018, 19:28
Yea FM its usually always 2+2 penalty but no clue why not now.. Maybe refs pissed on their pants and didnt wanna give such crusial penalty In the end. But every time its a high stick In the face and comes Blood its 2+2 In hockey
Finnishflash 05-03-2018, 19:32
Fukin 6vs4 25 sec.. Such a high stressi game

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