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ASK N. Novgorod - Novyi Urengoy    (lost)

Today we get odds about 3.00 for Urengoy, because lots have changed since last seasons, when Urengoy was always a better team and most of the times their odds against ASK N. Novgorod were about 1.07-1.10.

As far as I'm concerned, ASK are where they belong, somewhere in the mid table, but Novyi Urengoy were heavy underperforming this season. However, they are starting to produce wins and surely they will climb the ladder at least to a 6-8 position in the following weeks.

Roster value wise, odds are about correct, maybe I would give Novgorod 1.60 instead of 1.40, because this is the kind of game usually should be won by home team. Form wise, my money is on Urengoy. Even by looking how both teams performed vs powerhouse Zenit St. Petersburg, I can tell there is value on Urengoy

Urengoy lost 2-3 (super close game), while Novgorod lost 0-3 (16-25, 22-25, 20-25). More than that, Urengoy improved their game and all 3 CUP games vs good teams like Novosibirsk, Belgorod, Kemerovo were lost by an inch in therms of volleyball. Add the 2 recent wins vs Nizhnevartovsk and Belgorod and I believe this will be a 50/50 game.

I think the odds are greatly influenced by the recent win of ASK N. Novgorod at Dinamo Moscow, but that was a classic huge surprise in Russia, where odds 13.00 are easy as Hell. Overall, might get 5 sets here and Urengoy to get another win, thus picking 2 where I can see some value. Since no team has super players like N'Gapeth, match will be won by team effort and patience.


Published: 14-01-2022, 10:27 CET Pick: 2
Odds: 3 at bet365


* Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject of change

Category: Russian volleyball
Date: 14-01-2022
Option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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