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A. Lopez San Martin - T. Griekspoor    (lost)



Griekspoor keeps playing week after week, 3 in a row now. Last week he played doubles too, had that killer semis vs Travaglia... Here he won 1st round vs Rola who was out for a month because of Covid, 6-2 7-6 where he served for the match at 6-5 in second, but then came back from 3-6 in tiebreak. 

I already wrote that Griekspoor is a typical 'over' guy that almost all matches plays with some ups and downs, a lot of tight sets, tiebreaks... Now on top of that playing day after day, again after Rola next match not even 24 hours later...

 

Lopez is not even a standard CH player, not yet at least, but for now this is his best tournament. Won two Q matches in 2 sets, Furness had some MTO but he swept him, then a good win vs Skatov in two sets, saved all 3 break points. This 5,5 covers even a 2-0 loss, second match is statistically always critical, and I tried same bet in 2nd round last week. It could be very good or very bad for Lopez...

Published: 13-10-2021, 00:59 CET Pick: A. Lopez San Martin +5,5
Odds: 1.72 at bet365


* Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject of change

Category: ATP tennis
Date: 13-10-2021
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)



dsobol 13-10-2021, 01:13
I think +SETS is more +EV, gl anyways.
TennisOnly 13-10-2021, 13:34
well in the end he served for it at 6-4 5-3, just unlucky :)

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