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Aalesunds FK - Stromsgodset IF    (lost)

The Eliteserien. Match will be played at 6:00 P.M.

Aalesund was promoted from 2nd league in 2021. This team in last 5 seasons was one of the weakest clubs in Eliteserien and one of the strongest, when it played in the 2nd league. Now the hosts team is ranked 9th. Stromsgodset was promoted to Eliteserien in 2007. In 2021-2017 it was one of the leading Norwegian clubs. However, the last 4 seasons have been a weak period in the club's history, which was only placed 11-13 and in last season 9th. It is currently 4th.
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Season statistics:
Aalesund 12 4-4-4 goals 14:17, at home 5 2-2-1 goals 7:7. They have 9th offensive line and 1st defence.
Stromsgodset 12 6-2-4 goals 20:20 an away 6 2-2-2 goals 7:8 They have 6th attackers line and 11/12th defence in the league.
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Form:
Aalesund 6 2-2-2 goals 8:10, at home 3 1-1-1 goals 4:5
Stromsgodset 6 4-1-1 goals 15:11 an away 3 1-1-1 goals 6:7
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Under / over:
Aalesund u/o 2,5 - 6/6 (at home 2/3), average 2,59 (at home 2,80). BTS 6/6 (2/3).
Stromsgodset u/o 2,5 - 3/9 (an away 3/3), average 3,34 (an away 2,50). BTS 7/5 (4/2).
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H2H statistics from 2002-2020: 30 matches 15-4-11 goals 58:50, in Aalesund 15 12-1-2 goals 38:19. There is series of 8 matches with BTS.
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Aalesund players have a value of 9 millions euro, and Stromsgodset players - 8. Aalesund injuries or other: defensive midfielder Canadjija (8/0/0), defensive midfielder Segberg (5/0/0) . Stromsgodset injuries: center midfielder Krasiqi (10/0/0), right forward Stenevik (11/0/3).
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Summary: the statistics of both these clubs for the current season are better than in the last few years. However, as in previous seasons, Stromsgodset is still ranked higher. H2H statistics show that the home field gives the hosts a big advantage. However, Aalesund has not much better home statistics this season than Stromsgodset - away. Both teams will play without 2 of their players, but neither seems to be a key player of their team. The hosts absences suggests less choice among the defensive players, and the guests' absences - less choice in the offensive. But Stromsgodset will have 2 offensive players worth noting: midfielder Hove and forward Salesen, both of whom have some of the league's best goal and assists stats. None of the offensive players from the home team have such good statistics. The advantage in the visitors' offensive is also shown by the almost 50% better goal statistics. In defense the hosts are better by 15%, but the absence of 2 defensive midfielders may be a some problem for them. When I see on informations presented, I think that the betting market overestimate the hosts' chances. Probably because of the H2H statistics. In my opinion, there is a high probability that Stromsgodset will not lose this match. I bet on the guests, with the current market valuation.
Published: 03-07-2022, 00:44 CET Pick: Stromsgodset AH (+0,5)
Odds: 1.76 at Pinnacle


Category: Norwegian football
Date: 03-07-2022
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 5 (tipster's average: 4)




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