PICKS 32 TIPSTERS 595 BOOKMAKERS 50 FREE BETS 26 Join as tipster / Rules PREMIUM PICKS VERIFIED SERVICES FORUM
Forgotten password Close [x]
BETRUSH HOME PREMIUM PICKS VERIFIED SERVICES BETTING FORUM
FairPlayBet
Those evil Serbs
PICKS STAKES PROFIT
681 6799 +367.7
YIELD AVG ✓ ODDS AVG ✗ ODDS
+5% 1.9 1.94
Stats by month / league / picks archive

Alba Berlin - Bayern Munich    (won)

German Bundesliga, playoffs finals, Game 4 in the series best of 5

After we saw these two splitting the first two games (both road victories), Bayern has won the Game 3 at home and now leads 2-1. So, team from Munich has chance to finish the job today in Berlin. But, I don't think this going to happen. IMO we are going here into 5th deciding match.
I gave such opinion (series to be finished in max number of games) also in preview for Game 3. I took back then Alba +8.5 although my expectation was Bayern to win. And they won, but only with 6 pts difference. Honestly, it wasn't too great choice back then cause Bayern was leading most of the time with big advantage, as many as 17 pts. Still, we cashed with Alba at the end. 
After winning Game 1 in Munich 96:105, Alba obviously lost momentum a little bit and in next two games their offense failed. But I am not worried, Alba is averaging huge numbers overall in the season as well overall in the playoffs, they will be just fine today back to home. Also, given on fact the previous match was low scoring in general (72:66), we can say Alba offense has failed just once (in Game 2 when Alba allowed 96 but couldn't follow that and scored only 69 pts). 
Home court should be big factor in this series although we are currently 1-2 from that angle. But I believe the series will be finished with 3-2 in favor of home court. 
After lost opening match, Bayern changed a lot in tactics. They started to slow down the pace as much as possible and it worked. But as some Alba players said for official site (and I completely agree), they were without too many open shots. Alba is great shooting team and if they share the ball better, as long till they find clear look or at least best possible look, Alba will be just fine.
Bayern head coach Dejan Radonjić obviously finally manage to change the style of this Bayern, he manage to input his slower tempo like from the time he was on the bench of Crvena zvezda. But I am not sure it could be working here in long term. IMO Bayern has players for fast pace type of game. Also, with all credits to Radonjić, but with Aito Garcia on the other side, Alba is the one who hold the edge in coaching matchup. 
Overall looking rosters, IMO Bayern has more problems late in the season. Team from Munich already for a while is without important player, Milan Mačvan, the captain of the Serbian national team. Also Hobbs injured himself during this finals. Another Serb, Vladimir Lučić was out for more than a month. He was back in the roster for this finals but failed to convince his fitness is on the required level. 

The bottom line, I give more than a slight advantage to Alba, at least in this Game 4 in Berlin. In expected 5th match, probably it would be different story. 
Published: 13-06-2018, 14:57 CET Pick: Alba
Odds: 1.99 at Marathonbet


Category: German basketball
Date: 13-06-2018
Option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




GAMEPICK TIPSTER
24-06 Mins vs. Zhodino Zhodino, 1.83 @ bet365Zhodino InsideSport
24-06 Cobresal vs. Nublense 2 Cobresal-0.5, 1.86 @ PinnacleCobresal-0.5 InsideSport
24-06 Palestino - Union La Calera 2(dnb), 2.2 @ bet3652(dnb) soccerfan
24-06 Japan - Senegal 1 Under 2.5, 1.7 @ InterwettenUnder 2.5 uncle_bets
24-06 Japan - Senegal 3 Senegal -0.75, 2.8 @ PinnacleSenegal -0.75 drink
24-06 Japan vs. Senegal 2 DNB, 1.72 @ Marathonbet2 DNB Bettr
24-06 Poland - Colombia NEW Over 2.5 goals, 2.45 @ MarathonbetOver 2.5 goals Nvieira
24-06 Poland - Colombia Over 2.5, 2.4 @ PinnacleOver 2.5 drink
24-06 Poland vs Colombia Over 2.5, 2.23 @ OddsringOver 2.5 Andrew-Bets
24-06 Poland vs. Colombia Over 2.25 Goals, 1.83 @ bet365Over 2.25 Goals Bettr
24-06 Senegal vs Japan Senegal DNB, 1.72 @ 1xBetSenegal DNB FightingBets
24-06 Stabaek 2 - Fredrikstad 2(-1.5 AH), 1.71 @ 188bet2(-1.5 AH) soccerfan
24-06 Frej vs Gefle 1 Frej, 2.13 @ PinnacleFrej dajkula
24-06 Helsingborg vs Varnamo Helsingborg -1 AH, 1.65 @ PinnacleHelsingborg -1.. dajkula
24-06 Atlanta United vs Portland Timbers Over 3,5 goals, 2.43 @ 5DimesOver 3,5 goals Lakers
24-06 Roca Batalla - Galarza Roca Batalla, 1.5 @ bet365Roca Batalla Smoothie
24-06 Chiefs - TRIDENT Chiefs AH (-6.5), 1.9 @ bet365Chiefs AH (-6.5) L1n0
24-06 ORDER - TRIDENT ORDER AH (-7.5), 2 @ PinnacleORDER AH (-7.5) L1n0
25-06 Iran-Portugal Iran +0.5, 2.35 @ SBOBETIran +0.5 sirac
25-06 DEGERFORS - FALKENBERG 2, 2.7 @ bet3652 alcuni
25-06 Lorenzi - Bašić 5 Basic -1,5 sets, 2.36 @ PinnacleBasic -1,5 sets GoSoeda
25-06 Washington Nationals - Philadelphi.. NEW Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5 ru.., 2.65 @ bet365Philadelphia P.. Nvieira
26-06 Nigeria-Argentina 2 Nigeria +0,5, 2.68 @ PinnacleNigeria +0,5 sirac
26-06 Orgryte - Jonkopings 1 -0.75, 2.32 @ Pinnacle1 -0.75 alcuni
26-06 Australia-Peru 2 over 2,5, 2.23 @ Pinnacleover 2,5 sirac
27-06 Brazil-Serbia over 2,5, 2.1 @ Expektover 2,5 sirac
27-06 South Korea vs Germany 5 Germany AH-1.5, 1.71 @ 18betGermany AH-1.5 Andrew-Bets
27-06 Switzerland vs Costa Rica Switzerland, 1.92 @ VulkanbetSwitzerland Andrew-Bets
28-06 Panama vs Tunisia 1 Tunisia, 2.23 @ 1xBetTunisia Andrew-Bets
07-07 Cormier vs Miocic 6 Over 2.5 rounds, 1.75 @ 1xBetOver 2.5 rounds FightingBets
25-08 KSI vs Logan Paul 15 KSI, 1.5 @ SkybetKSI FightingBets
15-09 Golovkin vs Alvarez 10 Fight goes to the decision? Yes, 1.67 @ 1xBetFight goes to .. FightingBets
BOOKMAKERS SEE ALL

Free picks & PRO betting blog, reviews, advanced individual stats, contests, surebet tools. BIG forum of tipsters
Check BETBLOG.com
Betting Predictions
Free Betting Predictions from tipsters with verified statistics. Tipster Competitions with money prizes every month
Join the Bettors.Club
SPORTSBOOKS → USA
Top sportsbooks for US players (bitcoin accepted):
Bovada Intertops 5Dimes
Sportbet Cloudbet Island
PREMIUM PICKS
Get more and win more!
Betrush Premium features some of our best tipsters and has delivered over 15,000 picks and steady profits since the start in 2011. We care about serious betting - no makeup, odds are advised exclusively with Pinnacle and the Asian market. Subscriptions are affordable for everyone, starting from just €9.90 per week and cover all picks and tipsters on the BP site
TIPSTERYIELDPICKS
Yippee+13%230
Walker+12%48
alexis1016+9%301
bfischer+7%1454
cristiandinu+7%845
The_Tabak+7%253
Adan+4%312
RedBacon+2%1177
mrgol+1%1510
FinnishFlash+0%35
ARTICLES
Arbitrage betting, pros and cons, 18-05
Football under / over betting, how it does?, 18-04
Tips to access blocked bookmaker sites, 29-01
Using bitcoin for online betting, 20-12
RESOURCES
Casino games - Calculators - Livescore
KEEP IN TOUCH