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America Mineiro - Londrina    (won)

America Mineiro - Londrina:
Many may disagree with my choice this evening, but a prediction is not stipulated by looking only at the rankings, but motivations, the desire to win, the absences and the history of the team count.
Londrina and America MG face each other with two different goals, America is last in the standings with 11 points, Londrina third with 24 points.
America MG just relegated from the Brazilian Serie A is certainly not a team able to occupy the last position, for the story that belongs to it I don't think at all of the idea that it can go back to Serie C, Londrina will have to fear its opponent tonight for many reasons.
After the external victory for 0-1 against an important opponent like Ponte Preta, things for America have changed, Belo Horizonte club has started to take confidence and watch the championship under another perspective, to abandon the last position and exit the relegation zone.
In the last five games, America MG has improved its performance, stopping teams that are fighting for access, drawing 0-0 against Parana last round and obtaining the important external victory against Ponte Preta for 0-1.
Now for the first time in this tournament America MG is looking for its first home win, because the only two victories took place away from its stadium, against Ponte Preta and CRB.
Winning this evening has a fundamental role for America, because it would leave the last position, thus coming out of the relegation zone, this is my great motivation for which I push myself on America MG's victory.
Difficult to win against Londrina third in the standings?
America has scored two wins, five draws, and seven defeats, the time has come to win in Belo Horizonte!
The performance of Londrina, despite being third in the standings is not so convincing, in the last round he drew 1-1 at home against Goianiense, he won in his stadium 3-0 against Parana, he beat Vitoria at home 3-1, but against weak teams are in serious trouble, losing 3-1 against Oeste away from his stadium, then drawing 1-1 with Figueirense away.
In the last five games, Londrina showed her deficiencies, collecting two wins, one defeat and two draws.
Londrina is very strong when he plays in his stadium, he picks up very little away, only two wins, two draws and three defeats.
Now Londrina must be careful, there is the fear of leaving third place, her opponents are only one point behind, there are Botafogo SP, Parana, Coritiba, Sport Recife, which have 23 points, it is enough to think that Ponte Preta , Cuiaba, CRB and Figueirense have only three points less, Figueirense is at the center of the ranking, just three points from third place, this shows the great balance of the Brazilian B championship, Londrina has every reason to be afraid of losing her third place.
How America MG arrives:
America MG is in great revival and intends to leave the last position, coach Felipe Conceicao will be able to count on his best players, except for the disqualified Ricardo Silva (Defender 9/0), instead Pedrao plays (Defender 3/0 ), recovered from a thigh injury.
In attack Jonatas Beluso (striker), is injured, suffered a blow to the head in the last game, there will not be.
America MG:
Jori, Jao Paolo, Pedrao, Paulao, Diego Ferreira, Ze Ricardo, Willian Maranhao, Juninho, Felipe Azevedo, Matheusinho, Junior Vicosa.
https://globoesporte.globo.com/mg/futebol/brasileirao-serie-b/noticia/america-mg-x-londrina-tudo-o-que-voce-precisa-saber-sobre-o-jogo-da- Rodada-15-by-series-b.ghtml
How Londrina arrives:
With the fear of losing third place, Londrina went to Belo Horizonte with many training doubts, both in midfield and in attack.
Coach Alemao, will not be able to count on Germano (Midfielder 10/2), he is disqualified, just as Dagoberto (Attacker 4/2), their key player in the offensive department, was expelled in the match against Atletico Goianiense.
Even Bertotto (Midfielder 8/1) will not be available for this match.
Matheus Albino, Breno, Augusto, Marcondes, Rai Ramos, Franca, Anderson Leite or Denner, Higor Leite, Anderson Oliveira, Paulinho Mocellin or Luidy, Safira.
Final analysis:
America MG's victory is very important.
I expect a perfect match in Belo Horizonte, America is motivated and determined to leave the last position and get out of the red zone.
They have not yet won a game in their stadium and this evening could be their big break.
Londrina is the revelation of  championship until now, but I don't think it can aspire to a promotion in the top flight, so I don't know until when we could see it in third place.
Tonight, their key attacker, Dagoberto, will be missing (last season he was their best scorer), certainly Safira cannot take his place, it will be an important absence for Londrina.
Now is the right time to think about winning their first home game for America, the Belo Horizonte team has the best motivations to win, Londrina prepared to face an opponent with the desperate desire to take three points and abandon the last position, America MG has nothing to lose in this match, 11 lions enter the field.
I have a lot of faith in America's MG victory.
Are we so sure that Londrina is able to come out with a great result without his best player Dagoberto?
Who scores this evening?
America MG has a great history in Brazil, I can't see them last in the standings, tonight they will get a very prestigious victory against Londrina third in the standings.
Good luck.
Published: 06-08-2019, 16:25 CET Pick: America Mineiro -0.50 (AH)
Odds: 2.1 at Pinnacle

Category: Brazilian football
Date: 07-08-2019
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 3 (tipster's average: 6)

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