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Anadolu Efes - Real Madrid    (won)


Euroleague, quarterfinals playoffs 

G5

What to say after G3 and G4 in Madrid?  Comeback by Real in G3 was miracle to say at least. But what to say then for G4? Miracle or maybe something more?  Anyone who says how nothing was fishy in those two games,  IMO has no clue. 
Last game was even bigger joke than the third one.  Cause the same as they finished the G3 (no point scored in final 4 and half minute and allowed 16:0 run to Real), Efes has opened the G4 (no points scored in first 5+ minutes and 17:0 for Real). And then for only ten minutes or so,  Efes went from -17 deficit to +16 pts advantage. 
Efes was up big also late in the match,  around 15 pts but of course they again gave away everything. This time they have scored only 4 pts in final just over 7 minutes so Real has tied the score in series on two wins each. 

Honestly,  nothing that I saw convinced me that Spanish team really is so good right now to make such comebacks against probably best Euroleague team. Everything that was thanks to no effort by Turkish team in final stages of both of two games in Madrid.

Now we are back to Istanbul for deciding 5th meeting. I think there should be no doubt here who is going to win. Efes all the way. Handicap should be covered too. But my only concern is,  if they did what they did in Spain,  who can guarantee that also now we won't see some late fooling around?  Not losing this time but maybe deliberately not wishing to cover. Just saying.  
So I have opted for team totals. Efes Over 84.5. They have scored 90+ pts in both of the first two meetings at home. Surely can repeat now.  
From the defensive effort probably would depend if they are going also to cover big handicap. Still I won't care about that this time cause I expect Efes to have great shooting day like they always have at home and to break this 84.5 pts margin probably already somewhere in the middle of the 4th Q. After that we could see point shaving,  I don't care. 

Published: 04-05-2021, 12:52 CET Pick: Efes Over 84.5
Odds: 1.86 at bet365


* Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject of change

Category: European basketball
Date: 04-05-2021
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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