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Angelique Kerber - Jelena Ostapenko    (won)

Wimbledon - First semifinals on women draw

This is going to be the first ever mutual meeting between Ostapenko and Kerber. No wonder if we know there is 9 years age difference between them so we are talking pretty much about way different generation of players. 
30 y.o. Kerber is already two time Grand Slam champion (Australian Open and US Open) but she had succes also here on Wimbledon grass with one finals in 2016.
21 y.o. Ostapenko was sensational last seaaon winner of the French Open. Back to that season, she was in QF of Wimbledon. With this Wimbledon SF now, Ostapenko confirms her 2017 success was no random. Obviously she can play high level on all kind of surface. 

Today I must give advantage to the German girl. IMO her way bigger experience could decide today. But it's not just experience. From my point of view Kerber had also more difficult draw so far. Kasatkina, Bencic, Osaka...that was tough path to the SF. Ostapkina till QF meeting with Cibilkova, had no real opposition. 

I got impression that Ostapenko struggles a little bit more early in the match. After match vs Sasnovich, this has been repeated also against Cibulkova. She managed though to win again in straight sets but she was close to lose opening set those two times, especially Cibulkova had clear situation.
If this slow start repeats again, I feel Kerber would know how to take advantage of it. Cause Kerber is way more quality player of all previous opponents Ostapenko had.
Also note that Ostapenko before Wimbledon pretty easily lost to Radwanska in Eastbourne. BTW, Kerber there went all to the SF where was stopped by Wozniacki in a three sets classic. 
Published: 12-07-2018, 11:06 CET Pick: Kerber first set and match
Odds: 1.9 at bet365


* Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject of change

Category: WTA tennis
Date: 12-07-2018
Option: HT/FT
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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