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Ararat-Armenia (Arm) - FK Crvena zvezda (Srb)    (lost)


Given on the political situation in Armenia and war on the Armenian - Azerbaijani border, UEFA has moved this game to neutral location and it's going to be Cyprus. The same stadium where Cz has played previous round when was eliminated from Champions League qualifications from Champion of Cyprus. This time they have easier opponent but it's question if Ararat is really such big underdog. 

This huge odds dropping on Cz is something very similar like when they have played in Albania against Tirana and we know what happened. Embarrassing game where Tirana except in the first 20 minutes, completely outplayed Serbian champion and was unlucky to use one of 3 to 4 great goal chances while Cz has scored from pretty much only real situation they had and it was after corner. 

Zvezda has problems in attack plus they sold in the meantime striker Tomane. Still, the new player arrived. It's Italian Diego Falcinelli who came on loan from Bologna on Sinisa Mihajlovic recommendation. Already scored 3 goals in as many games. But as mentioned many times, do not take those Cz games from Serbian league too seriously.
I think this is going to be new struggle. Cz is favourite but don't see more than 0:1, at best 0:2. I expect from Armenian team to play very defensively oriented while Cz if scores early, do not expect to see them risking too much. The weakest link in the Serbian team is the goalkeeper, the worst Champions League goalkeeper ever. He makes bloopers regularly. You need to see what kind of goal he has conceded on this stadium in the mentioned game against Omonia. It was directly from corner, the ball entering the goal while he is "kissing" the post. But today I don't see too much job for him cause as said, "the host" will be focused on defense.

I like very much the fact odds dropping on away win cause this affected also on Totals and now we have much higher odds for Under 2.5. 
Published: 01-10-2020, 12:34 CET Pick: Under 2.5
Odds: 1.97 at 1xBet


Category: European football
Date: 01-10-2020
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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