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Arendal - Start    (won)

One of my sources recommends me to bet on Start in this match, while the other expects a possible surprise and victory for Arendal, so I like the goals in this game. As a matter of fact, I like goals for the hosts here, but when I'm sure of goals for the outsider, then I prefer to bet on "over" in the game, so my analysis will be for Arendal, but the bet for goals at all.

Arendal are doing great in the third level (PostNord-ligaen avdeling 1), where they are in second place in the standings (7-2-1, 21:9). The hosts are 4-1-0 (12:4) on their land and by this indicator are the strongest team in the league. In fact, they have scored in every game so far, except for the one against Notodden on away, where they received a red card at the beginning of the second half. Arendal are generally very strong at home, where they have not lost a single game last year (8-5-0, 35:14) and have scored at least one goal in 13 of their 14 games in the third level. At the end of the season they dropped out in the fight for promotion from Hødd (2:2, 1:2), but scored three goals in those two games. In NM Cup they won here against Sandefjord last year with 5:4 (3:3) after extra time, but failed in the next round and lost with penalties (2:2) against Nardo in away. So it can be seen that Arendal scores everywhere, but at home they are especially strong, even against teams from Eliteserien. In the previous round they beat Pors Grenland with 3:2 as а guests, so we again had a game with many goals.

Start are one level above Arendal (OBOS-ligaen) and have bad defense. Last year they had only one away game without conceding a goal. This season they are with one from five, so on general Start received at least one goal in 18 from 20 game in away in OBOS-ligaen. The guests may have come a long way for the cup last season, but (1/8-finals), but they were also lucky with the teams they played with-IL Express and Vidar are weak, while the game against Mjøndalen (4:2) was at home and the guests droped to the OBOS-ligaen after the season. Start finished their adventure in the cup against Sandnes (OBOS-ligaen) with 0:2 lost in away, so their series of conceded goals continued here as well. 

Published: 22-06-2022, 17:06 CET Pick: Over 3.0 goals
Odds: 1.568 at Pinnacle


Category: Norwegian football
Date: 22-06-2022
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 1 (tipster's average: 1)




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