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Argentina - Japan    (won)

Olympics. Decisive game for play-offs. The winner takes it all. After Czechs lost big vs USA and eliminated themselves from tournament, none team needs to win by any given pts margin, simple win is enough. And Argentina to me is obvious favorite to clinch that spot. Simple class is on their side. Experience too, which is vital in such do or die games on biggest stage. Maybe they weren't that Argentina from 2019 yet, but against Spain we saw glimpses of that already - especially in defense. If they struggled against pace of Slovenia and defense of Spain, I can't see what Japan can offer to stop Gauchos from playing their game and qualifying to PO. Scola should dominate the paint, in defense he shouldn't face much troubles this time as Japanese naturalized player Edwards isn't active there like Fazekas used to be in 2019. Campazzo, Lapro, Vildoza will be hardly stoppable at perimeter and Deck should offer some defense vs Hachimura. Japan lost heavily vs Slovenia too and that 11pts loss vs Spain is a bit misleading, cause Spaniards were leading by 25pts already in 3rd, them relaxed. Of cours Japan will fight, but I don't think that will be enough. IMO Argentina is double digits favorite vs them, so 7.5 line must be beatable. GL ;)
Published: 01-08-2021, 05:13 CET Pick: Argies -7.5
Odds: 2.01 at 188bet


Category: International basketball
Date: 01-08-2021
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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