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Argentina vs Serbia    (lost)

The first QF on WC, Serbia against Argentina. 

Two old big rivals but I feel at this moment Serbia is much better. Argentina was always good and dangerous opponent but realistically they are not on the level of WC 2002 in Indianapolis when lost in the finals from Serbia (Yugoslavia back then) and especially not level from 2004 and 2008 Olympic games when won gold and bronze medals. Luis Scola though is still here after playing all these years. In Indianapolis he was amazing 22 y.o. player but now he is almost 40 y.o. veteran.

Although against Spain it was big disappointment, I think Serbia should take the job done now. That was terrible game the other day, except Bogdanovic, no one played good game, nothing. One big zero. And not only due to good Spanish defense but they were missing also clear opened looks. Especially Jovic who was the worst player on the court but still got high minutes. When Micic was on the court, it looked much better. I definitely see different game now and Serbia back to winning mood. 
Also, Nikola Jokic was ejected. Yes, he was clearly correct for protesting cause he was slapped on hand by Marc Gasol but still, you can't have such reaction for one bad refs call. In any case, in NBA when Jokic earns double technical and end up ejected, he usually has monster game after it. Hopefully this is going to be the case also now. 
But it should be mentioned Serbia could be in problem on playmaker position. As said above, Jovic was terrible and now need to step up. If not, it could be tricky cause Micic`s mother has passed away in the meantime after the game with Spain. He has decided to stay in China for game vs Argentina but how good he could be in such circumstances? Hopefully everything should be ok. Micic is mentally very strong. After all, he arrived to China and decided to be part of the team and played very well although he was aware what could happen.

As for Argentina, they were very good so far but in their 5:0 score so far, realistically there wasn`t any Top 10 team from this WC. The most difficult opponent was Poland whom they trashed easily. But Poland is hardly Top 10 team here. I feel many teams who didn`t even qualify for QF are way better than Poland (Lithuania, Greece, Italy).

I was thinking about taking Serbia team totals the same as against Spain. Cause, such powerful offense can't have two straight poor games. As I said, only Bogdanovic was amazing and scored around 30 pts although Spain has played great defense on him with double or even triple him. But other guys were missing even open looks. Beside Bogdanovic, there was only Bircevic who hit 3-pts shot and even he did it only once. Today everything is going to look much better in those %, I'm sure about that. Especially I'm confident about Serbian dominance in the paint with 4 great tall guys in its roster. 
At the end, I still opted for handicap instead of team totals. Simply I don't like too big number, we need 88+ which is reachable but I feel handicap is better option, I expect double digits winning margin. 
Published: 10-09-2019, 11:38 CET Pick: Serbia -10.5 pts
Odds: 1.95 at 188bet


Category: International basketball
Date: 10-09-2019
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)



Andrew-Bets 10-09-2019, 13:57
I placed Serbia Over and Serbia with AH, but Argentina are playing terrific.
Andrew-Bets 10-09-2019, 14:01
In the first halt Serbia made a lot of mental mistakes defensively. Argentina are living on threes and what they can get from Serbia`s mental mistakes. Let`s hope Serbia can get some steals and get some fast break points. That would break the game in Serbia`s favour.
Fairplaybet 10-09-2019, 14:04
Not terrific but unbelievable. 54 pts for ht, even 9 successful 3 pts with great %. But I still hope it can end well, Argentina simply must drop in second half. They can`t hold these numbers.
Andrew-Bets 10-09-2019, 15:52
Indeed, they did! Incredible sensation...
Andrew-Bets 10-09-2019, 17:17
It`s incredibly hard to bet successfully on WC games this year.

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