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Arizona - Dodgers    (won)

Great spot for the Dodgers to bounce back, rare shutout yesterday for them, so what time is better to back them versus a right-hander (Castellanos).

Indeed, LA KILLS righties, for years now, and this year is no different with a huge .340 wOBA/.184 ISO/121 wRC+ which ranks them 1st (!!) in all categories against righties.

Castellanos with an ERA of 4.29, pretty much pitching to his numbers.

Let's break it down with a deep dive:

Castellanos is a FB pitcher, hence his 1.26 HR/9. He uses5 pitches basically. The Sinker is his main pitch, but only one Double-play ball, so his Sinker is not that effective as hitters are also hitting .295 (!) off it. He also uses a slider (his best pitch), a curve, a four-seamer, and a change.

In pitch value, the Dodgers are the 2nd best team vs Sinkerballers, 8th versus the curve, and 2nd versus the change.

Finally, let's take a look at the rightie/leftie split of Castellanos.
That is interesting, since:
Lefties hit a .287 wOBA
Righties hit a .340 wOBa (!).

Why Interesting? We have lined up *(confirmed) a deadly righty squad with Mookie (the hottest batter in baseball right now), Both Turners and Taylor as right-handed batters.

And last but not least, Arizona with a bad 'pen, an ERA of 4.42 (26th)

All in all, a great matchup, so I expect nothing but an ass-whooping for Castellanos today. Plus money is a must-play basically. 


Published: 27-05-2022, 00:56 CET Pick: Los Angeles over 5.5 (Team Total)
Odds: 2.01 at Pinnacle


Category: MLB baseball
Date: 27-05-2022
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 9)



Four-Seam 27-05-2022, 04:19
easy after just two innings xD, but these Boston bitches gonna lose of course after 6-0 up giving me heart attack sjeez

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