In this location it's just about managing its super tricky altitude conditions better than your opponent, nothing else. Arruabarrena really likes playing in altitude and in Bogota in particular, I mean she is 28-6 here and never had bad runs since the very first time in 2012 (two-time champion as well). Lara played qualies this time around and dropped only 1 game in 3 matches, impressive stuff even though she faced two locals without ranking and poor Zhao. Paolini is not bad in altitude but still not up to a specialist, also Arruabarrena beat her 7-6 6-1 right here in Bogota two years ago. I'm struggling not to see the Spaniard as obvious favourite, nice value in my eyes.