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Astralis - Mousesports    (won)

Astralis are currently the best team in the world undoubtedly. Even know they had some miraculous performances earlier this month, they got up to a bit of slump recently. After disappointing performance in Blast Pro Series Copenhagen a week ago, they lost to FaZe Clan last night. Anyways, this slump is just a perfect opportunity to get better odds for Astralis.

I need to mention that device is extremely important player for Astralis and his performance wasn't the best so far (he is still struggling from the jet-lag), but Mousesports seems to be quite a good opponent for him as they are quite an easy-going team with a brawly mentality which gives a lot opportunities for device. Another important thing is the way Mousesports main awper oskart performs against them. In last three games he hasn't even achieved a positive k/d and in the last interview he said that device is the most uncomfortable player to play against as he reads his game really well. Having mousesports star awper struggling is an important step to the success.

Another thing that makes me feel even more safe about this pick is that Astralis will get Nuke (most likely) to play. That's the map they haven't been beaten for 22 consecutive times if not more. Mousesports are good on Nuke ct-side (nuke is ct-sided generally), but their offense looked awfully lately. The only worrying thing is that Mousesports will either pick Mirage or Train. On both of these maps Astralis didn't look too great recently, but they are better as a team and keeping in mind how important game this is (mentally), I just see them over whelming Mousesports as Astralis have already bested them 7 consecutive times. 

Possible maps: Nuke (70/30 in favor of Astralis); Mirage (60/40 in favor of Astralis); Train (58/42 in favor of Astralis); Inferno (65/35 in favor of Astralis); Dust 2 (65/35 in favor of Astralis).

TL:DR. Astralis is a better team here, Mousesports is playing a style of cs that suits Astralis really well and mouz players tend to struggle against Astralis. Map veto favors Astralis here and ML looks safe. Asian handicap (a.k.a. correct score 2-0) looks tasty as well.
Published: 09-11-2018, 15:18 CET Pick: Astralis (-1.5 maps)
Odds: 2.1 at Betsafe


Category: eSports, Counter-Strike
Date: 09-11-2018
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 8 (tipster's average: 10)




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