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Astros - NY Yankees    (lost)

Paxton posted a 1.69 ERA with a 0.83 WHIP in his last 7 games. He posted this season a 6.00 ERA against Houston but he pitched better as he recorded a 4.76 xFIP. He dominated Springer, Altuve, Correa and co last season with a 2.05 ERA in 26.1 innings at work.

Paxton has a big 11.11 K/9 , so when his four-seamer, cutter and Curve are going right for him, i believe he will record a bunch of Ks today.

Verlander on the other side allowed 4 runs against the Rays in his last outing, altough i have to say that he was on four days rest.

He allowed 2 homeruns and that has been a problem in the regular season as well with a 1.45 HR/9, 3.18 xFIP which is of course potential trouble against that scary Yankee power.
Indeed, the Bombers from the Bronx with a monsterous .233 ISO on the road.

Yankees have more options in attack and slightly a better bullpen. Chapman is fully rested after all. 

Verlander with a 4.15 ERA against the Yankees this season. 

All im sayin is that odds are simply too high, this means i will back the Yankees as a road dog for plus money again. 

Published: 13-10-2019, 17:05 CET Pick: Yanks ML
Odds: 2.47 at Pinnacle


Category: MLB baseball
Date: 14-10-2019
Option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Stake: 6 (tipster's average: 9)




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