PICKS 16 TIPSTERS 754 BOOKMAKERS 26 BONUSES 12 Join as tipster / Rules VERIFIED SERVICES FORUM
Forgotten password Close [x]
BETRUSH HOME VERIFIED SERVICES BETTING FORUM CASINO GAMES
FairPlayBet
See Serbia
PICKS STAKES PROFIT
2264 22501 +620
YIELD AVG ✓ ODDS AVG ✗ ODDS
+3% 1.91 1.99
Stats by month / league / picks archive

Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne - Žalgiris Kaunas    (lost)

Euroleague » R22

I really think the line here is not set correctly. Žalgiris should not be favourite, maybe 50-50 game. And everything is about odds. If we have here say +3.5 or 4 pts on the road team, I would consider betting on them but this way with handicap set few points on Asvel, I must take the home team. 
It's true Žalgiris has improved and made some very nice results lately but whether they were really so good? By the words of coach Jasikevičius, they weren't. I watched full game only that one they played in Serbia against Crvena zvezda and really, no matter they have won, it wasn't good game for Lithuanian team. 
So, I think this handicap is a little bit overreacting by the bookies. It's also true that Asvel is 0-5 in last five but it wasn't as bad as it seems. Firstly, the French team is typical host, they can win here against anyone while on the road they are mainly completely harmless. They won only once away from home (1-9) while at home till recently had very good 7-2 record but then arrived the mentioned 0-5 out of what two games were at home, so now they are 7-4. One of those recent home losses was from Real Madrid, so nothing bad there. So basically the only poor result for them during 0-5 run, was home loss from Crvena zvezda. That was unacceptable, especially since Asvel was around 20 pts up after first half in that game. 
Situation with Asvel's roster was good, they had only Edwin Jackson out for a while but I see he has played last round in Athens against Panathinaikos. 

By the way, during this bad 0-5 run for Asvel, they were allowing 91 pts per game while before that only 79 pts. I really think they could play much better defense this time cause Žalgiris definitely is not a team who would play run & gun game here. This is expected to be lower scoring game (at least lower given on offered totals) and in such scenario I see this being one balanced match with equal chance for win. 
+2.5 on Asvel is widely available (-110) but let's take this +3.5 for bigger juice. 
Published: 30-01-2020, 19:20 CET Pick: Asvel +3.5
Odds: 1.79 at Unibet


Category: European basketball
Date: 30-01-2020
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




GAMEPICK TIPSTER
30-07 FC Winterthur - FC Wil 1900 FC Winterthur, 1.91 @ PinnacleFC Winterthur SlevenTips
31-07 Club Bamin Real Potosí - Royal Pa.. Club Bamin Real Potosí, 2 @ MarathonbetClub Bamin Rea.. SlevenTips
31-07 CSCD Blooming - Club Atlètico NEW CSCD Blooming -0.50 (Asian Han.., 1.8 @ UnibetCSCD Blooming .. SlevenTips
31-07 Honved - Debrecen 1.5 over Honved, 2 @ bet3651.5 over Honved hillandkimi
31-07 Brazil Ol. - Egypt Ol. Brazil -1.25, 2.01 @ SBOBETBrazil -1.25 FinnishFlash
31-07 Spain Ol. - Ivory Coast Ol. Ivory Coast +1, 1.94 @ PinnacleIvory Coast +1 alexis1016
31-07 Alberts - Skanste 1 Skanste X2, 2.49 @ 1xBetSkanste X2 psyhz
31-07 Cove Rangers v Falkirk 1 Cove Rangers -0.75, 1.85 @ bet365Cove Rangers -.. DMacIntyre93
31-07 Kelty Hearts v Cowdenbeath Kelty Hearts -0.5, 1.775 @ bet365Kelty Hearts -.. DMacIntyre93
31-07 Germany - Australia NEW Jock Landale over 10.5 points, 1.83 @ bet365Jock Landale o.. Sheidheda
31-07 Isner vs O'Connell 2 O'Con +2.5, 1.88 @ PinnacleO'Con +2.5 FinnishFlash
31-07 Chicago White Sox - Cleveland Indi.. Chicago White Sox (over 5 runs), 2.05 @ William HillChicago White .. gizmozch
31-07 Toronto Blue Jays - Kansas C. Royals Toronto Blue Jays (over 6 runs), 2.1 @ William HillToronto Blue J.. gizmozch
31-07 VP.Prodigy - BIG Academy NEW BIG Academy, 1.52 @ 1xBetBIG Academy tonac
01-08 Spain - Slovenia Slovenia, 1.78 @ GG.betSlovenia Mindozas
02-08 Dinamo-Clinceni 3 Clinceni win, 2.55 @ bwinClinceni win sirac