Odds proly right because the spanish league look in downtrend, both Real and Barca struggling but even so Atleti is way behind them, with lots of draws, the inability to not open up teams is still there, this Joao Felix looks like a overvalue, although he will miss this one as well as Trippier, but Morata returned on weekend while Costa also returned on training and should be ready for bench prolly. Still they are tough team to play against and their can defend and grind out results and this is still first leg, it wont be played at speedy pace, on contraire, Pool has also been quite conservative in their approach in many games, they are in saving energy mode for quite a while but they also been very lucky in many games, especially not receiving lately and often they struggled against this type of negative teams, lets remember the loss at Napoli earlier in the season, while this PL round they needed Mane to seal the deal late, against a negative side of Norwich which basically parked the bus and the Reds struggled even Norwich missed a huge chance in first half, 2v1 with the gk to beat, so i dont expect a goal fest here, everything looks set right by the bookies and it will prolly end in draw but Pool should lose one game sooner than later, they arent that good as this season shows, so the numbers should balance according to Gauss curve, might be this game as i think they will take it lightly hence going with the dogs.
Published: 18-02-2020, 12:05 CET
Pick: Atleti +0.25
Odds: 1.96 at SBOBET
Category: European football
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)