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Atletico-MG vs America MG (lost)

One match for tonight. Game between Atletico-MG and America MG. Atletico-MG is a much better team here, home ground is also a big advantage in this kind of leagues. So, I believe that home team will win pretty easily and comfortable.

Atletico-MG maybe is a little away from the "fight" for the trophy (after some bad results lately). But, still we have 10 more rounds to the end and also it is very important to secure a place for Copa Libertadores. Like I said, home ground is really important here. Just to mention that Atletico-MG in the same number of rounds (14 at home and 14 on the road) won 32 points at home and only 13 from away games. Before their fans, they are looking really strong. They have 10-2-2 at home. In that 14 games, they had scored 28 and conceded 13 goals. They have the best attack in the league and here I believe that they will be able to score 2+ goals.

They will be without: Emerson (defender 15/1) and Chara (attacker 14/1) - both are with their national teams. Injured are: Welison (midfielder 14/0) and Blanco (midfielder 11/0).

America MG is on the safe place at the moment, but relegation zone is on the several points. Of course their main target is to stay away from the red zone. They are without a victory in the last 5 rounds. In away games they are much weaker. They have only 8 points from 14 away games. They have 2-2-10. In that 14 matches, they had scored only 8 and conceded 22 goals. It will be really tough to score here, while on the other side I doubt that they are able to stop the hosts in this match.

They will be without: Donizete (midfielder 22/0) and Wesley (midfielder 17/0) - both suspended. Injured are: Neto (defender 14/0) and Lima (defender 0/0). Doubtful are: Ricardo (goalkeeper 18/0) and Giovani (defender 17/3).

In first part of the season Atletico-MG won on the road with 3:1. I expect another easy win for them. Good luck !

Published: 14-10-2018, 15:23 CET Pick: Atletico-MG (-1 AH)
Odds: 1.85 at Pinnacle

Category: Brazilian football
Date: 15-10-2018
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)

SelB 14-10-2018, 22:07

You are talking so much about home ground, away games, Atletico-MG won on the road with 3:1 and bla-bla-bla. Which is funny. Two words: Estádio Independência. GL!

aron50 14-10-2018, 23:47

This is very good analysis and I guess correct.

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