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Atletico - Chelsea    (won)

I think the odds will turn until kick off for this game. I know better odds were available, but it is what it is and there is stil some value to it. Most important point is that this game will be played in Romania, so no hfa for Atletico, which is a huge blow for the spaniards for sure. The interesting part is that we can compare these two teams without having to account for hfa and market says atleti is marginally better than Chelsea is. There are several reason why i disagree with that. First is their xG numbers are actually pretty similar, while Chelsea is playing in a better  league than Atletico.(Fight me!) Atleti has some big injury concerns as well,  with Gimenez, Trippier, Vrsajko and Carrasco out, while Chelsea only has Silva out. I also expect Chelsea to be the active side in this game and i think they should be the favs here, +0 should be around 1.85
Published: 23-02-2021, 02:11 CET Pick: Chelsea+0
Odds: 2 at Pinnacle


Category: European football
Date: 23-02-2021
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 4 (tipster's average: 5)



KingArthur 23-02-2021, 10:14
ooo accidentally we are on the same side i will look for your analysis thanks. I can have another reason different than yours i guess
Boggen 23-02-2021, 23:01
Congrats fellas!
TheWooooo 23-02-2021, 23:08
thx bro sorry for that jong ajax game thats just ridicoulus

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