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Auger-Aliassime V.S. Krajinovic    (won)

Let's just call it how it is: Felix is having a bad year.  His clay results are not good.  Nadal's uncle seems to be robbing him blind selling him a big name without any training.  Having lost 4 sets in a row and only going 1 for 3 in his clay court season Felix the cat needs some serious revamping.  

Krajionvic however has proved to be a disaster of late, winning only 2 of his matches on his home soil and recently losing to Nishioka in a "get-right" match without even taking a set.  The Serbian seems to have lost his confidence along with his once impressive game. 

The odds opened with Felix as a slight favorite at -125 and has rose 10 cents across most books (but you can still grab it at the original opening line @WillHill at this time).  While there is value on the Serb given he holds the lead in the H2H and beat Felix in Rome in their last match in straight sets I just cannot back the tennis Krajinovic is bringing on tour at this time.  The loss to Nishioka was inexcusable and IMO showed he really isn't serious about his career this year.  Both have endured several 1st round eliminations this year, but Felix is yet to lose 3 in a row on the year and don't think it will begin today with the way the Serb is playing. 

Starling Says: These two have matched up thrice before with Felix getting the better of the Serb only once.  Being the higher ranked player and having the marginally better year I like Felix to take it to him in Rome and progress to the next round against Diego (where I will be passing on a bet seeing how neither can be trusted at this time).   FAA on the Moneyline.
Published: 09-05-2021, 07:15 CET Pick: FAA - ML
Odds: 1.8 at William Hill


Category: ATP tennis
Date: 09-05-2021
Option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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