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Auger Aliassime - Berrettini    (lost)

ATP Stuttgart

I'm a little surprised by ML odds of this match, I was expecting something like 50/50 chances. Berrettini reached the final playing a very clean tournament and has been quite impressive on serve (never broken and just 2 BPs conceded). Matteo is sure of his means, this is making a difference. But beware of Felix, he probably didn't play his best week but has been a beast on serve as well (45 aces in his last 2 matches). Aliassime is a predestined and doesn't deserve such treatment from bookies. So both players showed great solidity on serve, we can expect a close match in normal conditions. This Felix +2.5 looks precious and is the best value pick for this match IMO. The Canadian lost both the finals played at ATP level this season (he was injured in the last one), maybe this is the right time to win, but in any case it's only a matter of time. I'm not happy to go against Berrettini, but I see too edge in this handicap as Aliassime isn't underdog for me.

Published: 15-06-2019, 22:15 CET Pick: Auger Aliassime +2.5
Odds: 1.94 at Pinnacle


Category: ATP tennis
Date: 16-06-2019
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 9)



FollowME 15-06-2019, 22:34
Berrettini has been a true monster, I will go towards his direction I think
Darkness 15-06-2019, 23:20
I know but look at his odds, do you see any value at 1.50 against Felix? It`s likely to be a close match, maybe decided on a few points. The value is on the Canadian for me, but I`m honest in saying I would have preferred another opponent :)
FollowME 16-06-2019, 00:50
Haven’t checke the odds... good luck ;)
dsobol 16-06-2019, 17:06
Berettini unreal...
Darkness 16-06-2019, 17:34
And lucky.

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