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Barcelona - Anadolu Efes    (won)

Game 3, series is tied on 1 win each after two games in Istanbul. Now we are in Barcelona for the next two.

The Spanish team achieved for what they went to Turkey. They made break, won one on the road. And they did it in style with coach Pesic masterpiece tactics. Namely Barcelona managed to totally shut down Efes offense (which is great offense by the way) in both meetings, not just in one they won. Barcelona managed to completely slow down the pace and to play in rhythm they like. It was known Barcelona is one of best defenses in EL but Efes is a team that can score a lot. Still, it wasn't the case in those two matches.
But now in Spain I see different games, at least this first one. Cause although is great defensive team, when playing at home, you often could see Barcelona involved in high scoring matches. At least that was the case in some games where I was involved. Simply, their own offense produces much better numbers when they are on home floor, so the game more often than not is expected to have a little big higher tempo.
Probably I would stay away if the line is not so much below 160 pts. I see Barca scoring 80+ while expect Efes too, better than in first two games.
Regular season meeting in Spain ended with low 145 pts (80:65) but after big second half comeback for Barcelona and totally non typical only 15 second half points for Efes. 
For Barcelona I'm not worrying to reach expected 80+ pts while if Efes doesn't have some very very very bad shooting day, then this game is going easily over the offered totals.
The line already started to move up and you need to take bigger juice in most places if want to go with 155.5 pts. I expect 157.5 to 158.5 at tipoff time.
Published: 24-04-2019, 07:36 CET Pick: Over 155.5 pts
Odds: 1.91 at William Hill


Category: European basketball
Date: 24-04-2019
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)



FairPlayBet 24-04-2019, 21:44
Nice 91 pts at halftime. Hopefully this end well. Plus, big lead for Efes which is great cause if they wins, another easy winning bet coming in Game 4.

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