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Bautista Agut - Carreno Busta    (won)

ATP Rotterdam

These two have played many tough battles in the past, I don't rule out they cannot have another one on this slow indoors. Obviously it's going to be a grind from the baseline and you know, both Bautista and Carreno are usually solid and things can be decided on small details. Bautista is still the favourite, but Carreno played better in R1 and that makes me hopeful he can win at least a set in this one. I think Carreno's level was good against Mannarino, always looking in control and master of his destiny, although he wasted some break leads in the decider and risked a definitive comeback from the Frenchman. Bautista survived and relied on his experience as Fucsovics was the better player in the first two sets, but couldn't finish the job and fell apart after losing the second set tiebreak. Here I still expect a lot of balance with Carreno probably having a higher price than it should be.
Published: 12-02-2020, 11:30 CET Pick: Carreno Busta +1.5 Sets
Odds: 1.79 at Pinnacle


Category: ATP tennis
Date: 12-02-2020
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 9)




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