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Bayern Munich - Khimki Moscow    (won)

Euroleague basketball, Round 11

Beside Over in Buducnost vs Barcelona game, I'm also interested in betting this game between Bayern Munich and Khimki Moscow. Here I like home team in role of small favorite. Currently we can find Khimki as low as -3.5 AH.
These two sides so far have achieved completely the same record, both are 4-6 overall and both are 3-3 at home while 1-3 on the road.
When it comes to the most recent form, then it should be mentioned Khimki was the one with better performance since the Russian team has won the last three straight while German side is 1-3 in last four. Of course this isn't going in favor of my bet but I still believe home team is the right choice this time.
If we are talking about ATS stats, then it should be mentioned Bayern in 3-3 home record is also 3-3 Against the Spread. On the other side Khimki in 1-3 away record is 4-0 ATS. So, the Russian team has secured the profit to its bettors every time when playing away from home cause they weren't losing with a margin. The most convincing loss was away in Istanbul from Fenerbahce (8 pts) but in role of double digits underdog.
Still, now IMO is the time for bet against Khimki cause this will be their first road game without its best player, Alexey Shved.
The leading Euroleague scorer (25 pts per game) got injured on previous road game away in Lithuania against Zalgiris, 83-84. After that it was announced Shved will be one month out. He broke the finger but still played 35+ minutes and finished the game with 25 pts. The last round at home vs Panathinaikos, Khimki was for the first time without Shved. And they were successful. Some other guys stepped up but it was home game plus it should be mentioned Panathinaikos played one very poor game.
Today for the first time on the road without Shved, l expect we'll see much weaker game for Khimki. I simply don't see them able to find those Shved's 25+ pts this time. 

Published: 06-12-2018, 16:14 CET Pick: Bayern -4.5
Odds: 1.95 at Pinnacle


Category: European basketball
Date: 06-12-2018
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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