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Beijing Guoan - Chongqing Lifan    (won)

      Chongqing Lifan has 3 good foreign players scoring goals for them they usually play with one striker up-front, that is Brazilian Alan Kardec who has 6 goals for them this season, backed up right behind them by Polish attacking midfielder playing usually as a second striker Mierzejewski who has 4 goals scored this season and last but no least another Brazilian player but in midfield Fernandinho who also has 3 goals for his club this season.
       Lifan even defeated Shanghai SIPG with 3-2 on the road this season, they also won a recent game away from home at Wuhan Zall also with the same score 3-2, they lost 3-1 away at Jiangsu Suning while their last away game in the league a few days ago ended with them losing 4-2 away at Guangzhou R&F. They also played a 2-2 draw in the cup away at Shanghai Shenhua and a 3-3 draw away at Tianjin Tianhai, and only 2 of their 8 away games this season did not went with over 3.5 goals while as far as this over 4.5 goals line is concerned they covered it 4 times, that means half of their games.
      But here they are not playing against any team but against the league leaders from Beijing Guoan who is very good at scoring goals at home especially, they defeated Lifan 4-0 away from home at the start of this season, but they are not that solid in defense, made mistakes in both the recent 3-2 win to Guangzhou R&F at home giving away two penalty kicks plus other scoring opportunities to their opponents, while Wuhan Zall profited and created scoring chances as well as the defense of Beijing is making silly mistakes but missed some howlers and did not score,Lifan will not have the same mercy I feel and should score, reason why I believe the hosts are good for 3+ goals especially as it is likely African striker Bakambu should start after ending the Africa Nations Cup with D.R. Congo, and there are also Viera and Renato Augusto scoring plenty of goals this season even in his absence, over is the call, how many goals it is really your decision, over 3.5 goals pays 2.20 at Bet365, over 4.5 goals pays 3.75 at the same bookie.
Published: 10-07-2019, 06:28 CET Pick: Over 4.5 goals
Odds: 3.75 at bet365


* Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject of change

Category: Chinese football
Date: 10-07-2019
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 8 (tipster's average: 9)




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