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Berrettini – Gojowczyk    (lost)

In last match Berrettini defeated Kovalik 6-1, 6-1, so one would say that Kovalik was trashed, but the reality was different. I watched that match and counted plus and minus points of both players. Truly spoken, Berrettini was nothing special with some easy mistakes. His ratio in the end was @1,44, but lets say ok. On the other hand Kovalik was tragic and in real, he was the man who stayed behind that result. His number of unforced errors was huge and overal ratio @0,4. His poor display was really surprising.

Gojowczyk in his last match defeated Krstin. His display was a disappointment for me as he was able to make quite a lot of errors. However lot of plus points as well, so in the end his ratio was @1,63, which is solid. His two-sets win was also result of bad display of Krstin, who, mainly in first set, made really lot of errors. In the end Krstin’s ratio between plus and minus points was 1,13.

Truly spoken I wasnt too happy about performance of any of Berrettini and Gojowczyk. Their ratios from last matches are similar and its the same with their game displays. H2H is 1-0 for Gojowczyk after easy win from last year. IMO, from what I saw, every odds above @2,0 have value and I can recommend to shoot them.

Published: 14-03-2019, 15:24 CET Pick: Gojowczyk win
Odds: 2.42 at Pinnacle


Category: ATP tennis
Date: 14-03-2019
Option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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