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Bosnia & Herzegovina - Armenia    (lost)

Euro 2020 qualification. Another match from the same group (I already had tip on Italy against Finland from this Group J). The same as there on Italy, also here I expect from Bosnia & Herzegovina to take the job done. After all, after Italy, BiH and Greece are the top nations in this group. Still, probably much tougher game here for Bosnians than Italy would have. Cause, neither Bosnia is so good to take down easily football dummies, neither IMO Armenia is weak as Finland. Yes, I rate Armenia as someone who is able to make more trouble to favorites of this group than Finland is going to be able.
IMO Bosnia will win but in one more or less tied game. I expect from Armenia to be heavily oriented on defense and probably they will hold on for a while. For me, the best approach here is Bosnia to win to nil. You can find this bet as high as 2.00 odds (1.90 at bet365). That's great if you ask me. But, such option is not allowed here so I need to improvise. "Both to score? No", that's another approach but odds for this option in bet365 are only 1.57. At the end I opted for team total, Armenia Under 0.5 goals @ 1.72 odds.

As I said, for me Armenia can hold well here. That's going in favor of this bet. Cause, as long the score is 0:0, Armenia won't be so much interested in attacking. 

Of course, there is danger to this could be some funny fixed game. After all, this is Balkan here. For example, Croatia yesterday conceded from much weaker opponent then Armenia is. And then made the comeback but won only 2:1. I didn't watch so I can't say if something was fishy there but in any case, Croatia as the best team in the region and one of best in Europe, probably can give to themselves such luxury to fool around. Bosnia & Herzegovina on the other side IMO should play always seriously if wants to qualify from this group. 

The head coach of home team, the legendary Robert Prosinečki, had good start with success in the Nations League (first place in front of Ireland and Austria). Still, Nations League means nothing as I said earlier. But, it was promising for Bosnia in those games that Prosinečki added a lot new younger players to rotation, some are done with national team while in the main role of course are still Pjanić and Džeko.
Expected starting 11 today:
Šehić - Todorović, Šunjić, Bičakčić, Ćivić - Bešić, Krunić, Pjanić - Zakarić, Višća, Džeko.

Published: 23-03-2019, 16:12 CET Pick: Armenia Under 0.5
Odds: 1.7 at William Hill


Category: European football
Date: 23-03-2019
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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