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Boston Bruins vs Toronto Maple Leafs    (lost)

NHL playoffs started and yesterday we saw all three favourites winning games. But today I see at least one underdog, that has better chance, than most bookies give them. 

Toronto Maple Leafs will face Boston on the road in first game. They ended season with the record of 49-33. They scored 3.4 goals per game and allowed 2.8. 

Boston on the other side pretty same numbers, they ended regular season with the record of 50-32 and scoring 3.3, allowing 2.6 goals per game. 

According to my projections this game could be much more closer and there are couple of reasons fro that. 

First of all they met 4 times this season and Toronto won 3 out of 4 games. Toronto has very good recent results against Boston, winning 7 out of last 8 games and they also beat Boston on the road in 4 out of last 5 meetings. Of course this is not guarantee for anything, I just want to point out, that they can math cup well against Bruins and they can play at least even match against them. 

Injuries in NHL are always a tricky thing, because we don't know who will play and who will not play a lot of times until the last minute of the game. But at this moment, Toronto is mission Lupul, who is out for some time and he is not a factor for this game. On the other side Boston is without Carlo, who is their 4th most important defender (according to DPS) and he was injured in April. They also have 3 other questionable players. I believe Rick Nash will play today and we still don't know if Riley Nash will play. So, Boston has 4 players dealing with injuries. 

When it comes to special teams, Toronto has second best power play in the league, Boston has better PK. 

When it comes to goalies, I wold not give any huge advantage to any team. TOR Andersen GAA%- 94 (last 5 years 95), BOS GAA%- 94 (last 5 years 93). 

Boston is slightly better in Corsi numbers, but in general I see this as a close game, we also saw that Toronto can play against this Boston team and I think that everything above 2.35 is a value bet on Toronto. 

Play Toronto
Published: 12-04-2018, 11:31 CET Pick: Toronto
Odds: 2.45 at 5Dimes


Category: NHL ice hockey
Date: 13-04-2018
Option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Stake: 9 (tipster's average: 9)




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