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Boston - Texas    (won)

Red Sox keep on rolling, won 12 of their last 15 and scored 7.06 Runs per game in that span.

They start with LHP Rodriquez, 10-3 with a 3.84 ERA and good stuff>9.61 K/9, 2.79 BB/9, 1.15 HR/9. At home a 4.08 ERA but he pitched better than that>10.29 K/9, 2.72 BB/9, 0.58 HR/9.

Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.

Rodriquez pitched 6 innings this year against Texas and allowed 5 runs. But hold your horses, despite those runs allowed, he had amazing stuff and had bad luck with the balls in play percentage and he struck out 10 (!) Rangers.

Red Sox are 17-5 in Rodriguezs last 22 starts.

For Texas Mike Minor on the mound. 4.63 and pretty much pitching to his numbers>7.29 K/9, 2.17 BB/9, 1.38 HR/9, 35.9GB%.

Minor is a FA pitcher. Red Sox are ( together with the Yankees ), the best FA hitting team.

Minor's split>

Lefties .477 SLG>.308 woBA

Righties ..475 SLG>.336 wOBA

On the road righties hit him harder>.550 SLG> .388 wOBA

Rangers are 2-6 in their last 8 road games vs. a left-handed starter.

Boston has a monsterous Rightie lineup with Mookie, JD, Bogey and Nunez who are all starting today. He pitched 6 innings against Boston this year with a 4.50 ERA, but he pitched even worse than that.

Rangers are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Boston.

Going with the red hot Red Sox and i am willing to take the risk with the runline.

Published: 09-07-2018, 22:09 CET Pick: Boston -1.5
Odds: 1.96 at Pinnacle


Category: MLB baseball
Date: 10-07-2018
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 9)




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