Boulogne play very high scoring games at home, a vast difference compared to away, no other reason for this. Troyes top of the table surely that counts for something. I see they've had 2-ish xG regularly this season thats good enough, Boulogne lost 2-6 to Reims who are counter-attacking team similar to Troyes. Obviously not expecting a repeat of that but 3 goals looking at the stats worth the risk at 2.20
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