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Brentford - Fulham    (lost)

Championship [Playoffs]

I was looking forward to having this matchup as playoff final, which was clearly expected earlier. Swansea and Cardiff weren't teams that could aspire to promotion IMO, but they still won one of the two legs and made things uncertain for Brentford and Fulham until the end. That's to say Bees and Cottagers weren't perfect, conceding goals to Swansea and Cardiff in both matches. Brentford deserve this damn promotion, they had a stunning season but got stuck when it mattered most at 2 matches left as they lost to Stoke and Barnsley, saying goodbye to direct promotion which was one step away. When you miss such an opportunity then it's hard to reset your mind, but Brentford are still slight favourites here. I don't think Fulham had that strong season compared to the big level (still on paper) of their team, but be careful because they are more experienced than Brentford in matches like these and can manage pressure better. Also top scorer Mitrovic is back after missing the semis due to a minor injury, he wanted and had to be as ready as possible for this event. It's a final, but I still expect an enjoyable match with both teams to score (nice odds). Maybe it could end in a draw in regular time (no 0-0 though), just a feeling. 
Published: 04-08-2020, 05:14 CET Pick: BTS [Yes]
Odds: 2 at Pinnacle


Category: English football
Date: 04-08-2020
Option: Both To Score
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 9)



Nabuchodonosor 04-08-2020, 12:22
Hi Darkness, nice write-up as usual. 2 points came in my mind, Mitrovic will be fit for this game, a few days ago it seemed impossible, don`t you think they just don`t have the choice to play with him even at 60% ? As you wrote, Brentford imo is slightly favourite, but the market gives them many advantages. I am a Bees followers for a few years now (since they finished 2d the only year, the 1st get promoted from League One). So it is hard to go against, but the value isn`t here? Personally, if I have to choose something from this game will be Brentford o1.5 circa 2.4 a bit contradictory with what I said before. Gl
Darkness 04-08-2020, 15:17
Hi mate, nice to meet you. I think Mitrovic could already play against Cardiff (2nd leg), but Fulham didn`t take any risk to have him as good as possible for the final, thinking about having an easy job to go through after the 1st leg. I personally would play him even with one leg, Mitro is too important for Fulham. I`m a Fulham sympathizer since I follow English football, but no doubt Brentford deserve to play in PL next season, although I really didn`t like that mess they made in the last two rounds. My first thought was to go with Fulham +0.5, but only for a question of value more than for a real prediction. Then I said to myself it was very difficult that the Bees wouldn`t score here as I don`t trust Fulham defense too much, also Brentford have that lovely trio upfront. Now 1X2 odds are fair to me and I just like my pick :)
Nabuchodonosor 04-08-2020, 16:21
Thanks for answering! Yes, Mitrovic is vital for Fulham, this is why I am not sure of his fitness. But you might be right for the 2nd leg against Cardif, to take no risk to be fit for the final. Have a nice game !
Darkness 04-08-2020, 16:30
Hoping for an epic one, many goals and decided on penalties :)
Darkness 04-08-2020, 22:37
Never change the first thought, it`s even ended with the worst scoreline as I liked the draw.

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