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Brighton - Crystal Palace    (lost)

I remember watching the previous meeting between these two and it wasnt a bad game its just neither of the teams was willing to take big risks.. but looking objectively Palace as hosts had to think about scoring first and they did through a penalty then they fell back and it was all Brighton.. they missed some good opportunities and scored off a long ball in 90+5. So in conclusion even without taking big risks both managed to find the net. Today its different - Brighton play more open at home averaging 14.6 shots per game compared to away where its 10ish. They also have more interceptions 10 at home vs 8 away which suggests their defense is more about stealing the ball rather than sitting back. Brighton do dominate is what stats suggest and Palace away have poor goal difference 9-18 -> averaging 1gs-2gc. Palace are missing Ayew and Zaha but considering the form those two were in i wouldnt say its that big of a loss. Olise has shown glimpses of his quality and Eze did reasonably well last season. Palace definitely doing much better when they can do a fast break rather than create through possession and Brighton's approach to home games suggests they may have a shot. Palace approach crucial to this bet as they are the more overish team and if they take their chances instead of just sitting back the over is worth a shot
Published: 14-01-2022, 14:50 CET Pick: Over 2.5
Odds: 2.2 at bet365


* Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject of change

Category: English football
Date: 14-01-2022
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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